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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“New home sales fell back marginally by 4.1 per cent in July, however sales this year remained stronger than at the same time in the previous year,” added Mr Tapang.
“This is consistent with our expectations that detached home building will pick up pace in the second half of 2024.
“Queensland saw a 15.6 per cent increase in new home sales in July 2024 compared to the previous month. This leaves sales over the past three months 60.1 per cent higher than at the same time the previous year.
“Sales in South Australia were 55.8 per cent higher in the three months to July 2024 than at the same time in the previous year, despite a monthly decline.
“New home sales in Western Australia remain elevated, despite a fall in recent months, as this market is constrained only by the capacity of the industry, not demand.
“Sales of new homes in New South Wales and Victoria are continuing to bounce along the bottom of their respective cycles.
“The rise in interest rates hurts these markets, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, more significantly due to the higher costs of land.
“These sales figures suggest that the improved number of homes commencing construction across Australia will be driven by smaller markets outside of Sydney and Melbourne.
New home sales in the three-month period to July 2024 increased in Queensland by 60.1 per cent compared to the same time in the previous year, followed by South Australia (+55.8 per cent), New South Wales (+17.5 per cent), and Western Australia (+1.4 per cent) which is coming off a higher base. Victoria recorded a 13.3 per cent decline over the same period.
“Australia’s population reached 27.4 million by the end of 2024, up by 445,900 people, or 1.7 per cent for the year,” stated HIA Senior Economist, Tom Devitt.
The Tasmanian election that no-one wanted to have is in full swing, and while the limited campaign period is unlikely to provide the usual platform to promote key policies and reforms, HIA is calling on both major parties to prioritise housing policies given the significant challenges across the state.
“Our dated and complex planning system is littered with speed bumps that could easily be removed”, said Brad Armitage, HIA NSW Executive Director.
“The Victorian government’s proposal to update home building contract laws to make them fit for use in the 21st century is welcomed by HIA,” stated HIA Executive Director, Keith Ryan.