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The recent events brought together industry leaders, government representatives and stakeholders to discuss economic conditions, housing forecasts and major infrastructure projects shaping the region’s future.
“The outlook reinforces both the opportunities and pressures facing the residential building sector,” said HIA Hunter Executive Director, Craig Jennion.
“The Hunter region continues to experience strong underlying demand for housing, with total dwelling approvals in the year to April 2026 increasing 27 per cent on the Central Coast and 6 per cent in the Hunter compared to the year prior.
“Despite this supply remains constrained by land availability, rising costs and regulatory complexity,” Mr Jennion said.
“The recently released HIA-Cotality Residential Land Report shows that the median lot price on the Central Coast in the December 2025 quarter was $610,000, a 13.5 per cent increase over the same quarter a year earlier. Similarly, the Newcastle and Lake Macquarie median price was $565,000, a 10.78 per cent increase over December 2024.
“This placed the neighbouring regions third and eight on the list of the most expensive regional markets nationwide. In contrast the Hunter Valley was relatively more affordable with a median of $410,000, 7 per cent higher than December 2024.”
Broader economic analysis presented at the breakfasts highlighted ongoing challenges in the housing market despite improving approval indicators.
Key matters outlined included:
“It’s clear that the building industry is at a turning point - rising costs, labour shortages, and shifting market conditions are reshaping the future of housing.
“The data reinforced that housing affordability pressures are being driven largely by land supply constraints and regulatory settings, rather than demand alone.
“Without a coordinated approach to unlock land, streamline approvals and support industry capacity, we will continue to fall short of the homes Australia needs,” Mr Jennion said.
A key focus of the events was the Australian Government’s proposed High Speed Rail program, with a particular focus on the Newcastle to Sydney corridor.
Attendees heard how the project is expected to transform connectivity between the Hunter, Central Coast and Sydney, delivering significant economic and housing benefits, including:
The High Speed Rail Authority outlined how improved connectivity will unlock more diverse and affordable housing options and support stronger regional communities.
“The Hunter region is well positioned for growth, particularly with transformational infrastructure like the High Speed Rail, but planning decisions made today will determine whether we can meet future demand.
“We have the opportunity to deliver meaningful improvements in housing supply and affordability, but it requires coordinated action across government and industry,” concluded Mr Jennion.
Over the past few weeks HIA has been advocating strongly on behalf of members on a range of policy and regulatory issues that have significant implications for housing supply, business confidence and the capacity of our industry to deliver the homes Australia needs.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has today written to the Tasmanian Government calling for a commitment that state-funded and state-partnered housing work will continue to be awarded on merit, not industrial arrangements, warning new federal procurement rules could shrink the pool of builders able to deliver the homes Tasmania needs.
The Victorian Government continues to push ahead with its Working from Home laws despite the Housing Industry Association’s (HIA) call for it to abandon its proposed legislation, warning the changes would impose additional regulatory pressure on businesses already struggling and kill productivity.
Hobart has been identified as the most restrictive capital city in Australia for planning, according to the Australian Zoning Atlas, which found 97 per cent of the city's residential land is subject to restrictions that limit new housing.