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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“Victorian policy uncertainty is adding to the national and international headwinds facing the industry,” added Mr Ryan.
“Home builders and buyers have already had their confidence shaken this year by three interest rate increases, fuel price surges and supply disruptions associated with the Iran War, and uncertainty surrounding the Australian government Budget’s housing tax changes.
“The Victorian government is compounding these headwinds with the rushed and last-minute implementation of new laws including the first resort home warranty scheme and new home building contract laws.
"Purchasing a home is the largest financial decision most households will make. When households are uncertain about the economic outlook, their employment prospects or future housing policy settings, they often delay that decision until there is greater clarity.
“Victoria’s home building recovery was one of the last in the country to start gaining momentum.
“The overall trajectory for home building in Victoria is still positive, on the back of ongoing strong population growth and low unemployment rates.
“Victoria’s population expanded by 1.7 per cent or nearly 120,000 people last year, the unemployment rate has remained below 5 per cent, and household sizes continue to shrink.
“This has supported housing demand in Victoria, with new home sales over the last three months still more than one-third (+36.0 per cent) greater than the same quarter a year earlier.
“The poor result for the month of May reflects a loss of confidence rather than a deterioration in the underlying demand for housing.
"At the same time, labour shortages, rising construction costs and limited access to shovel ready land continue to constrain the industry's ability to increase supply.
“Any extra policy-introduced obstacles this year are most unwelcome and policymakers need to work to reduce the costs of home building if Victoria’s housing needs are to be met,” concluded Mr Ryan.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the Prime Minister's acknowledgement today that housing must remain a central consideration as Australia expands its digital infrastructure and data centre capacity.
This member alert is for members who enter into domestic building contracts entered into before 1 July 2026. It is also important information for members who enter into domestic building contracts with clients with untitled land.
Over the past few weeks HIA has been advocating strongly on behalf of members on a range of policy and regulatory issues that have significant implications for housing supply, business confidence and the capacity of our industry to deliver the homes Australia needs.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has today written to the Tasmanian Government calling for a commitment that state-funded and state-partnered housing work will continue to be awarded on merit, not industrial arrangements, warning new federal procurement rules could shrink the pool of builders able to deliver the homes Tasmania needs.