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The Australian Bureau of Statistics today released its monthly building approvals data for May 2026 for detached houses and multi-units covering all states and territories.
“Even with the monthly decline in multi-units, approvals over the last three months were still up by 8.5 per cent compared to the same quarter a year earlier, led by houses (+11.1 per cent), but also multi-units (+4.6 per cent),” added Mr Reardon.
“The data continues to reflect the good momentum in Australian home building heading into 2026, supported by elevated population growth and low unemployment.
“New headwinds, including rising interest rates, fuel costs and international turmoil, have started to weigh on confidence and are already suppressing dwelling price growth in a number of markets.
“There is a narrow window of opportunity to get into the housing market, as home prices have fallen due to the uncertainty created by the Budget. At the same time, we are not building enough homes to meet growth in demand.
“We expect house price growth to return when the noise from the Budget and interest rate adjustments clears.
“There is only one factor that is more important to new home building than interest rates, and that is market confidence.
“Households postpone buying a new home if they are not confident about their employment and the state of the economy.
“If market confidence returns quickly, as we expect, then the adverse economic indicators that we are seeing with the decline in home prices and anecdotal reports of a slowdown in home buying activity, will not be observed in future building approvals data.
“There are lags between changes in consumer sentiment and this outcome being observed in building approvals data.
“Sales of new homes accelerated in 2025 given the cut to the cash rate. This momentum was maintained until the Budget. This ensures that there is a buffer of work already sold but not yet commenced that will ensure builders continue to operate without disruption from the recent loss of confidence.
“Nonetheless, with housing affordability at its worst levels in over 30 years, it is more important than ever that policymakers support housing investment and development by reducing the costs of home building, not increasing them,” concluded Mr Reardon.
In seasonally adjusted terms, Tasmania saw the largest increase in new home approvals in the three months to May 2026, compared to the same quarter a year earlier, up by 57.5 per cent. This was followed by Queensland (+19.9 per cent), Victoria (+15.0 per cent) and South Australia (+7.2 per cent), while New South Wales (-0.8 per cent) and Western Australia (-0.1 per cent) saw marginal declines. In original terms, the Australian Capital Territory saw a decline of 42.6 per cent, while the Northern Territory jumped significantly (+51.1 per cent).
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the Prime Minister's acknowledgement today that housing must remain a central consideration as Australia expands its digital infrastructure and data centre capacity.
This member alert is for members who enter into domestic building contracts entered into before 1 July 2026. It is also important information for members who enter into domestic building contracts with clients with untitled land.
Over the past few weeks HIA has been advocating strongly on behalf of members on a range of policy and regulatory issues that have significant implications for housing supply, business confidence and the capacity of our industry to deliver the homes Australia needs.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has today written to the Tasmanian Government calling for a commitment that state-funded and state-partnered housing work will continue to be awarded on merit, not industrial arrangements, warning new federal procurement rules could shrink the pool of builders able to deliver the homes Tasmania needs.