{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.text}} {{region}} Change location{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change location {{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.text}} {{region}} Change location{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change locationAustralia will build more homes despite policy changes, not because of them
Australia will build more homes despite policy changes, not because of them
Member and guest login
Enter your email and password to access secured content, members only resources and discount prices.
Did you become a member online? If not, you will need to activate your account to login.
If you are having problems logging in, please call HIA helpdesk on 1300 650 620 during business hours.
Forgotten password
Need some help?
If you are having problems logging in, please call HIA helpdesk on 1300 650 620 during business hours.
If the email address you have entered is registered, you will receive an email with further instructions.
Become part of the HIA community
Enables quick and easy registration for future events or learning and grants access to expert advice and valuable resources.
Create a guest account
Enter your details below and create a login
Send me exclusive tips, early access to new launches, and special offers. I can change my mind at any time.
By clicking Get started now you agree to the terms and conditions and privacy policy.
HIA recently released its Economic and Industry Outlook report. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight jurisdictions.
“As outlined in the Federal Budget, increased taxes on established housing will reduce the supply of new homes, while the subsequent prohibition on SMSFs borrowing to invest in residential property will remove another source of new home finance.
“These policies have interrupted an expansion in home building that was already underway.
“They will not necessarily cause commencements to fall across Australia.
“The effect is that Australia will build fewer homes than it otherwise would have. We anticipate that over the Housing Accord period Australia will fall 186,000 homes short of the 1.2 million homes target.
“Population continues to grow, households continue to form at a rate faster than supply of new homes and Australia already has a significant shortage of homes.
“HIA expects these structural forces to increasingly dominate the housing cycle and result in a return to positive home price grow from early 2027.
“The increase in commencements should not, however, be interpreted as evidence that Australia's housing shortage is being resolved.
“Rather, it is the shortage itself that will eventually generate the market conditions required to support more construction.
“There is a fundamental difference between reducing the price of an established home and reducing the cost of delivering a new one.
“The established and new home markets are not separate markets.
“If taxation reduces what investors are prepared to pay for an established home, it also affects what they are prepared to pay for a comparable new home.
“This is why permitting Negative Gearing for newly constructed homes does not quarantine new housing from the impact of higher taxation on established housing.
“The tax rules may distinguish between new and established homes. The housing market does not.
“When established home prices fall but the cost of land, labour, materials, infrastructure, finance and regulation does not, fewer new housing projects are financially viable.
“Lower established home prices can therefore improve affordability for some households today while simultaneously reducing the supply of housing required to improve affordability tomorrow.
“A risk to the forecast was that uncertainty created by recent policy changes persists for longer than expected due to economic or political uncertainty. This would see a greater decline in new home building.
“Confidence is hard won and easily lost,” concluded Mr Reardon.
Download our latest HIA State and National Outlooks
For more information please contact:
Builders bring productivity and tax concerns to Canberra
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) is urging policymakers to focus on the factors holding back housing productivity, while warning that proposed changes to the taxation of discretionary trusts risk making it harder for small builders to invest, employ and deliver new homes.
Migration settings will help build more homes
“Today’s announcement by The Minister for Home Affairs, The Hon. Tony Burke MP, provides a balanced, long-term direction for Australia’s migration system, with stable and reliable pathways for the skilled workers the economy needs,” stated HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon.
National Tradie Day: celebrating the Australians who build our future
On Friday 18 September, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) is recognising the contribution to the nation of Australia's tradies and the vital role they play in building the homes, communities and future we all rely on.
Hunter & Central Coast housing targets depend on winning the battle for tradies
The ability for regional NSW to build more homes will increasingly depend on winning the battle for skilled tradies, with housing competing against infrastructure, energy and emerging industries for an already stretched workforce, according to a new report from the Housing Industry Association (HIA).