Housing industry insights
Advocacy & policy
News & inspiration
Support & guidance
Member perks
Industry insurance
For your business
Apprentices
Building it right
Building materials & products
Managing your business
Managing your safety
Building your business
Other subjects
A rewarding career
Study with us
A job in the industry
Grow with us
Our podcasts
Our initiatives
Get involved
Awards
Awards winners
Industry events
Most popular products
Top categories
For your business
{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.text}} {{region}} Change location{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change location {{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.text}} {{region}} Change location{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change locationQueensland housing recovery delayed as demand outstrips supply
Queensland housing recovery delayed as demand outstrips supply
Member and guest login
Enter your email and password to access secured content, members only resources and discount prices.
Did you become a member online? If not, you will need to activate your account to login.
If you are having problems logging in, please call HIA helpdesk on 1300 650 620 during business hours.
Forgotten password
Need some help?
If you are having problems logging in, please call HIA helpdesk on 1300 650 620 during business hours.
If the email address you have entered is registered, you will receive an email with further instructions.
Become part of the HIA community
Enables quick and easy registration for future events or learning and grants access to expert advice and valuable resources.
Create a guest account
Enter your details below and create a login
Send me exclusive tips, early access to new launches, and special offers. I can change my mind at any time.
By clicking Get started now you agree to the terms and conditions and privacy policy.
Mr Roberts said population growth, household formation and an accumulated shortage of homes continue to underpin housing demand, but this cycle is being driven by restrictive financial conditions, weaker confidence and policy changes, rather than an absence of underlying demand for housing.
“Queensland’s housing challenge has not gone away. The demand for new homes remains strong, but current economic conditions are making it harder for households to commit to new builds and harder for the industry to bring that supply forward,” Mr Roberts said.
This cycle is being driven by restrictive financial conditions, weaker confidence and policy changes, rather than an absence of underlying demand for housing.
Established home prices are expected to recover during 2027, with new home sales likely to follow dwelling commencements beginning to recover from late 2027.
In Queensland, 5,930 detached houses commenced construction in the March quarter 2026, down 6.7 per cent on the previous quarter. Detached housing starts are expected to reach 25,140 in 2026, before rising to 26,020 in 2027, 26,570 in 2028 and 26,760 in 2029.
Multi-unit commencements totalled 4,940 in the March quarter 2026, down 8.0 per cent on the previous quarter. A further decline is expected in the following quarter before starts gradually improving through the second half of 2026. Multi-unit starts are forecast to total 17,760 in 2026 and rise to 18,390 in 2027, 19,180 in 2028 and 20,280 in 2029.
Mr Roberts said the expected recovery should not be mistaken for a resolution of the housing shortage.
“A lift in commencements from late 2027 would represent a delayed and constrained response to a shortage that has already built up over time. Unless policy settings support more investment and construction, housing affordability will continue to deteriorate,” Mr Roberts said.
“Housing policy must ultimately be judged by whether it helps deliver more homes. Reforms that enable supply at one level of government achieve little if policies elsewhere discourage investment and construction,” Mr Roberts said.
For more information please contact:
Government delays ATO credit card payment changes
The Federal Government has announced that the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) will continue to accept credit card payments for tax liabilities until the end of the 2026-27 financial year, delaying changes that were previously due to take effect on 1 December.
Government provides breathing space for builders and tradies on ATO credit card ban
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the Federal Government's stepping in and agreeing to delay the Australian Taxation Office's (ATO) proposed ban on credit card payments, providing builders, tradies and suppliers with much-needed breathing space while a longer-term solution is developed.
HIA Victoria not failing housing targets as badly as others is not success
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) says the Victorian results in the HIA National Housing Accord Update released yesterday, while not as poor as some other states, highlight the urgent need for a reset in housing policy after the upcoming state election.
HIA Safety Summit headlines National Safe Work Month
HIA’s annual Safety Summit is being held today in Adelaide (8 October) and will bring together industry leaders, regulators and workplace safety experts, providing practical guidance to help residential builders and tradies create safer worksites and support compliance in an ever-changing world.