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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“The only exception to this low volume of sales is in Western Australia where it appears that house building will defy the efforts of the Reserve Bank,” added Mr Reardon.
“The volume of new home sales in Western Australia has increased since a trough in early 2023 resulting in sales in the three months to the end of November being 49.1 per cent higher than at the same time the previous year.
“The strength of sales in Western Australia is now flowing through to a modest rise in approvals. This is likely to see a steady flow of new home starts for Western Australia in 2024.
“Unfortunately, the ongoing acute shortage of skilled trades people in Western Australia will cap the growth in starts.
“This is a very unique outcome and will see Western Australia remain out of cycle with the rest of the country.
“Nationally, new home sales across Australia fell by 7.0 per cent in the month of November and remain at low volumes as rising interest rates continue to constrain house building.
“This will see the volume of homes commencing construction continue to contract in 2024 resulting in the lowest number of new house commencements since 2012,” concluded Mr Reardon.
New home sales across Australia in the three months to November 2023 decreased by 0.1 per cent compared to the same time in the previous year. By jurisdiction, sales in the same three-month period compared to the previous year fell in South Australia (-26.1 per cent), Victoria (-14.2 per cent) and NSW (-9.4 per cent). Sales in Queensland increased by 6.3 per cent compared to the previous year, while Western Australia saw a 49.1 per cent increase in the same period.
The number of homes commencing construction in Australia is set to increase over the next few years, driven by strong population growth, low unemployment, and falling interest rates. However, long-term structural issues continue to pose risks to housing affordability and national supply targets, according to the latest outlook from the Housing Industry Association.
HIA has been calling loudly on the State Government to release more land for new housing, as it is a fundamental element in delivering new homes and supporting housing affordability.
Are you aware of the first home owners grant has been increased until 2026? Did you know grants are also available for existing homeowners when building new homes? Find out the latest on the HomeGrown Territory grant and FreshStart New Homes grant today.
“Victoria is behind Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia in HIA’s latest Housing Scorecard, reflecting a dramatic change in fortunes over the last five years,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.