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The ABS released its Producer Price Index data for the September quarter 2024 today, which provides the latest statistics on input prices across different sectors including the home building industry.
The ABS also released the Lending Indicators data for the month of September 2024 today, which provides the latest statistics on housing finance commitments.
“Disruptions to global supply chains have largely abated, the volume of home building has slowed, and build times are back to pre-pandemic levels,” added Mr Tapang.
“Stable interest rates and construction costs are seeing consumers increasingly engage in new home building.
“This return of confidence is consistent with the 14.3 per cent rise in lending for new home purchase and construction in the September quarter 2024 compared to the same time in the previous year.
“The rise in activity in the new home segment is increasingly driven by a return of more owner-occupiers to the market as unemployment remains low, and interest rates remain unchanged.
“Investors have been also active in building new homes in this cycle amid the shortage of housing, evident in rising rental yields, house prices and increasing activity in the established dwelling market.
“First home buyers have been very resilient in this cycle, despite the rise in the cash rate. Lending to first home buyers in the September quarter 2024 rose by 7.8 per cent compared to the same time in the previous year.
“As is typical of these cycles, the first to return to market are investors, followed by trade-up owner occupiers, first home buyers and increasingly those building a new home. The leading indicators reinforce the suggestion of an increase in home building activity in late 2024 onwards,” concluded Mr Tapang.
Materials price increases were recorded in copper pipes and fittings (+15.1 per cent). This was followed by electrical cable and conduit (+12.9 per cent), electrical equipment (+9.7 per cent), fibrous cement products (+7.3 per cent), and paint and other coatings (+6.5 per cent).
The number of loans issued in the September quarter 2024 for new homes increased by 36.2 per cent in Western Australia compared to the previous year, followed by Queensland (+32.0 per cent), South Australia (+31.0 per cent), the Australian Capital Territory (+23.8 per cent), Tasmania (+10.3 per cent) and New South Wales (+9.4 per cent). Victoria remained relatively unchanged (-0.1 per cent), while the Northern Territory declined by 9.4 per cent over the same period
“Victoria is behind Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia in HIA’s latest Housing Scorecard, reflecting a dramatic change in fortunes over the last five years,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.
This year’s State Budget has largely missed the opportunity to improve the environment for home building and contains negligible measures to increase housing supply, address housing affordability and lower the costs facing new home builders.
The current severe storm conditions across NSW can wreak havoc on construction sites and can raise concerns from owners in recently completed homes.
“The outlook for home building in South Australia has taken a marked step up in recent years, as economic and policy dynamics increasingly shift in the state’s favour,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.