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“This large volume of work will ensure that the industry remains very active through until at least the second half of 2022,” added Mr Weller.
“Renovation activity is also at an all time high and likely to remain elevated for a number of years due to the nature of the COVID recession and house price growth.
“On a per capita basis, the ACT had the strongest uptake of HomeBuilder applications for renovations.
“This level of activity is not likely to be seen again for many years, if not decades. The combination of factors that have led to this boom is unprecedented and are driven by HomeBuilder and low interest rates as well as a change in consumer preference away from high density areas.
“The key challenge for the industry has shifted from a slump in demand this time last year, to having sufficient supply of materials, labour and land to satisfy this demand.
“The extension of HomeBuilder’s commencement deadline will help limit the impact of constraints imposed by land, labour and materials and ensure the elevated volume of detached homes will be sustained for longer.
“The timing and speed of a recovery in overseas migration will have a significant impact on these forecasts.
“The return to stable and certain population growth is central to stable economic growth,” concluded Mr Weller.
This forecast is contained in HIA’s economic and industry Outlook Report. The State and National Outlook Reports include updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity for Australia and each of the eight states and territories.
With the Tasmanian state election on 19 July fast approaching, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the strong focus from both major parties on policies that boost housing supply.
On 11 July the South Australian Government announced changes to the maximum payout and minimum works value for building indemnity insurance (BII) in South Australia.
HIA provided a submission to the NSW Net Zero Commission.
“Expanding complying development will speed-up the delivery of keys in doors to new homes sooner,” said Brad Armitage HIA Executive Director NSW.