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The ABS today released its building activity data for the June quarter 2025. This data provides estimates of the value of building work and number of dwellings commenced, completed and under construction across Australia and its states and territories.
“This decline in house building, combined with a moderation in multi-unit commencements, saw Victoria start construction on just 13,970 new homes in the latest quarter, a long way down from the 20,000 homes target the Victorian government has set for itself,” added Mr Ryan.
“There were previously pockets of growth in certain home building sectors, such as higher-end custom and bespoke builds and knockdown-rebuilds, but this cycle looks to have ended without volume builders seeing an uptick in demand to pick up the slack.
“Recent interest rate cuts from the RBA and the Australian government’s removal of LMI requirements for first home buyers look to be bringing more buyers back to the market but it will be a few months before this translates into construction activity on the ground.
“Since the RBA’s rate hiking cycle, Victoria has been unable to mount a strong and sustained recovery.
“Relatively weaker population and labour market dynamics, expensive residential land and increasing state government taxes and regulations on home building, have held back the state while markets like Western Australia, Queensland and South Australia race ahead.
“Deeper and wider policy reforms are needed to reduce the taxes, costs and restrictions on home builders, home buyers and home investors, if the Victorian government wants to meet its housing targets.
“All forms of housing need to be supported, including house and land packages in greenfield areas, medium density units and townhouses in middle ring suburbs, and high-rise apartments in inner city and activity centres,” concluded Mr Ryan.
“HIA estimates that Australia needed to build more than 250,000 homes last year just to keep pace with demand growth and begin reducing the housing shortage. Instead, we commenced construction of just 196,000 homes. That gap is why housing affordability continues to deteriorate," stated Tim Reardon, HIA's Chief Economist.
Victoria's leading industry groups have united to demand the Allan Government immediately withdraw its damaging Work from Home Bill, warning it will further undermine investment and economic growth in the state.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has told a Senate Inquiry that the Federal Government’s proposed tax changes will result in 35,000 fewer homes, despite being promoted as a solution to Australia’s housing affordability crisis.
HIA welcomes the Cook Government’s announcement to reduce unnecessary red tape for lower-risk building work—an outcome strongly advocated for by industry.