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ABS data released today includes housing finance, building approvals and interstate migration.
“The exodus of residents from Melbourne is a trend that has emerged following the COVID recession with more than 32,000 residents departing in the year to March. Sydney also lost 31,600 residents to other parts of the country over the same time however, this is consistent with the trends of the past 20 years,” added Mr Reardon.
“This shift in population is the main driver of the tight rental market that exists across the country, other than in Sydney and Melbourne.
“Regional areas have seen a greater increase in building approvals than capital cities as the population shifts toward lower density areas.
“The 220,000 building approvals in 2020/21 is the most in a financial year since 2017/18.
“Given that the population is moving interstate and building new homes it is unlikely that they intend to return to Sydney or Melbourne.
“The shift in population out of Melbourne is a new trend and one that is compounded by the loss of overseas migration that has underwritten economic growth in Victoria for the past decade.
“ABS Housing Finance data was also released today and shows that there were 94.4 per cent more loans issued for construction of a new home than in the previous financial year. This is the most loans ever issued for construction in a 12 month period.
“HomeBuilder and other grant programs have also ensured that there were more loans issued to first home buyers in 2020/21 than in any previous financial year.
“Building approvals and issuing of loans for construction did fall in the month of June 2021, confirming that the bulk of new projects initiated under HomeBuilder have passed the last regulatory hurdles,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“South Australia has once again taken out the top spot in HIA’s Housing Scorecard,” stated Stephen Knight, HIA Executive Director.
Building contracts that have been modified or have information missing may be ineligible for the BASIX Transition.
“The prospect of a pick-up in home building activity in 2024 is not likely given the low volume of new homes sales in the first three months of 2024,” stated HIA Senior Economist, Tom Devitt.
On 26 March, HIA advised members that NSW will be adopting a transitional period for the use of engineered stone to ensure businesses can fulfill existing contracts with less disruption and uncertainty. Today, HIA has received the formal confirmation from SafeWork NSW acknowledging the significant impact the ban will have on the operations of businesses HIA represents and the engineered stone industry more broadly.