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Despite the lockdowns median house prices are on the rise in Melbourne.
Adding to this cost burden will be the State Government’s proposed Windfall Gains Tax, which will likely pass through the Legislative Council next week and become law.
In pursuing such an outcome, the Government appears determined to put home ownership out of reach for even more Victorians, by placing further upward pressure on the cost of land for new housing which continues to be in short supply.
The Windfall Gains Tax is only a windfall for the Victorian Government. For every day Victorians, it’s a slowing of the state’s economy and a tax on Victorian jobs at the worst possible time, as the state rebuilds from the world’s longest COVID pandemic lockdown.
The Windfall Gains Tax will see 50 per cent of any uplift in land price by more than $500,000 as a result of rezoning going straight into the government’s coffers.
The timing of this new tax couldn’t be worse. It will come as homes built using the recent Federal Government’s HomeBuilder grant will have been completed, with the risk that new home builds will most likely be in decline threatening jobs in the years ahead.
Future homebuyers, many whom would have already been waiting patiently to buy and build their own home, will be faced with rising land costs because of the new tax.
For private land owners, the tax will be a major disincentive for them to sell or develop their land for housing, and if they do then the costs will be passed directly to developers and homebuyers.
Bringing new land to market in Victoria takes up to a decade, meaning land owners already manage the risk, cost and changing legal arrangements that may affect a project. Certainty is key - land owners are used to paying Federal taxes on property sales, but this Windfall Gains Tax will bring unnecessary complexity to Victorian property transactions and slow down housing supply. Developers who purchase land for housing development may simply not be able to proceed with their projects in the years to come.
HIA has come together with other Victorian Industry Groups to oppose this tax. At a time where recovery from COVID-19 is the biggest concern, a new tax on property should simply be shelved.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the ACT Government’s decision to progress the Missing Middle Housing reforms. This is a critical step toward increasing housing supply and improving housing choice across Canberra.
The Federal Budget 2026 introduces the most significant structural changes to housing taxation in decades. As the implications of the Budget became a little clearer this week, HIA’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon and I have put together this summary
HIA responded to the Consultation Paper on the Review of Australia’s Mutual Recognition Schemes for Workers which details the Council’s interim findings on barriers to a single national market for workers supported by the mutual recognition framework and triggers the second round of consultation associated with the review.
HIA provided this further submission to inform the Expert Panel’s first review of the Road Transport Contracting Chain Order made on 28 April 2026.