If you are having problems logging in, please call HIA helpdesk on 1300 650 620 during business hours.
Enter details below and sign up
“This has driven a ‘super cycle’ of housing activity across Australia that will ensure that the industry continues to operate at capacity through 2022. Detached home building activity remains well above historical peaks.
“The key feature that will mark the turning point in this cycle will be a rise in interest rates. When interest rates inevitably increase, it will reduce households borrowing power. Slower house price growth will see banks increasingly reluctant to lend for the construction of a new home and have a negative effect on consumer confidence.
“Regardless of the timing of an increase in the official cash rate, effective interest rates have started to rise and will lead to the same outcomes.
“Inflationary pressures are very evident in the home building industry where the cost of land, labour and materials are increasing at rapidly. These rising costs have not yet had a significant adverse impact on demand for new homes, as established house price growth has exceeded these cost increases.
As established house price growth slows and access to finance tightens, these rising costs will further impede demand. The adverse impact of slower population growth for two years will also emerge as weaker demand for new detached homes from 2023.
“Despite this slowing in demand for new homes over the coming years, if the national economy remains strong and unemployment low, the bottom of this next cycle will not be sharp, deep or sustained.
“It is expected that the number of detached homes commencing construction will slow through 2022/23 and reach pre-COVID levels at the end of 2023.
“In contrast to the detached forecast, multi-unit starts are expected to continue to increase over the next two years, but remain below pre-COVID levels of activity,”
The affordability constraints in detached housing are expected to push some households into townhouses and apartments. A return of migration will assist in offsetting the impact of a rise in interest rates for multi-unit construction,” concluded Mr. Reardon.
HIA released its economic and industry Outlook Report for Australia today. The Outlook Report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.
Learn about all of the various contract documents you can use INS to be compliant.
The Liberal Party’s announcement today that if re-elected they will allow Australians to access up to $50,000 from their superannuation to fund a deposit to help them buy their first home is a welcome one, and an initiative that HIA has championed.
Western Australia is one of just two states to see an increase in new home sales in April, recording a significant increase in the amount of new activity from the same period prior to the COVID-19 pandemic.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the ongoing support for Western Australia’s residential building industry in the 2022-2023 State Budget, including a number of targeted initiatives aimed at attracting more skilled workers into the state amid record high levels of detached construction.