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The HIA New Home Sales report – a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states – is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“The rise in the cost of borrowing will compound the impact of the rapid increase in the cost of building a new home that occurred due to the constraints on global supply chains,” added Mr Reardon.
“The full impact of the rate increases will continue to flow through as an adverse impact on the sale of new homes for at least the next few months.
“This slowdown is consistent with reports from builders over recent months which have seen the number of people visiting display sites and making enquiries slowing since the first increase in the cash rate in May.
“If this decline in sales is sustained, which is expected, then the 1.75 per cent increase in the cash rate so far, will have brought this pandemic building boom to an end.
“There remains a significant volume of work under construction and approved-but-not-yet-commenced that will provide a buffer for the industry and ensure building activity and demand for skilled trades remains exceptionally strong through the rest of 2022 and into 2023.
“There remains a risk, however, that the adverse impact of rising rates on the wider economy will be obscured by this volume of ongoing work and that the RBA goes too far, too soon,” concluded Mr Reardon.
All of the major states saw a decline in new home sales in July, led by Queensland (-15.5 per cent) and New South Wales (-15.3 per cent), followed by Western Australia (-13.5 per cent), Victoria (-11.1 per cent) and South Australia (-9.7 per cent).
Compared to the same month in 2019, however, most of the states were still up, led by Queensland (+34.0 per cent), Victoria (+17.8 per cent), New South Wales (+12.8 per cent), and Western Australia (+8.2 per cent). South Australia saw the only decline over this period, down by 9.9 per cent.
The Federal Government has announced that the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) will continue to accept credit card payments for tax liabilities until the end of the 2026-27 financial year, delaying changes that were previously due to take effect on 1 December.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the Federal Government's stepping in and agreeing to delay the Australian Taxation Office's (ATO) proposed ban on credit card payments, providing builders, tradies and suppliers with much-needed breathing space while a longer-term solution is developed.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) says the Victorian results in the HIA National Housing Accord Update released yesterday, while not as poor as some other states, highlight the urgent need for a reset in housing policy after the upcoming state election.
HIA’s annual Safety Summit is being held today in Adelaide (8 October) and will bring together industry leaders, regulators and workplace safety experts, providing practical guidance to help residential builders and tradies create safer worksites and support compliance in an ever-changing world.