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The ABS released the Lending to Households and Businesses data for July 2022 today. The data provides sobering statistics on housing finance commitments.
“The rise in the cost of borrowing is compounding the impact of the rapid increase in the cost of building a new home that occurred due to the constraints on global supply chains,” added Mr Devitt.
“Declines were seen across all segments of the market, led by investors.
“The value of loans to investors fell by 11.2 per cent to their weakest month in over a year. This was followed by a 9.5 per cent decline for first home buyers, to their lowest level in over two years, and a 6.3 per cent decline for other owner occupiers. There was also a 3.3 per cent decline in lending for renovations.
“These declines in home lending are consistent with other leading indicators.
“New home sales across Australia declined by 13.1 per cent in July, following even earlier reports from the industry of a slowing in the number of groups visiting display sites. This will see weaker sales volumes in the second half of 2022.
“If these trends are sustained, which is expected, then the 1.75 per cent increase in the cash rate so far will have brought this pandemic building boom to an end.
“There remains a significant volume of work under construction and approved-but-not-yet-commenced that will provide a buffer for the industry and ensure building activity and demand for skilled trades remains exceptionally strong through the rest of 2022 and into 2023.
“There is a risk that this volume of ongoing work will obscure the adverse impact of rising interest rates,” concluded Mr Devitt.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has been at the forefront of advocacy, fighting hard for our members and industry. We are pleased to highlight a few important wins achieved over the past week.
The following comments can be HIA’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon in relation to the APRA announcement to limit lending.
“The Housing Industry Association (HIA) is pleased to see progress on the long-awaited and much debated EPBC Act reforms, though the final details on the new laws and how they will be implemented now become critically important,” HIA Managing Director Jocelyn Martin said today.
The Victorian Government has just announced changes to the method of calculating the cost of building work for building permit applications. The changes aim to ensure that the building permit levy is only charged for actual building work.