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The ABS released the Lending to Households and Businesses data for September 2022 today. The data provides sobering statistics on housing finance commitments.
“The total value of housing loans also fell by a further 8.2 per cent in September, to be 18.5 per cent lower than at the same time in the previous year,” added Mr Ward.
“The RBA’s tightening is weighing heavily on demand for housing and the full impact will not emerge until the second half of 2023,” stated HIA’s Senior Economist Nick Ward.
“This slowing in housing finance data is consistent with other leading indications, such as HIA’s New Home Sales Survey, which have fallen more than 15% in the September quarter.
“If these trends are sustained, which is expected, then the 2.75 per cent increase in the cash rate so far will have brought this boom to an end.
“There is still a significant volume of work under construction that is sustaining employment across the economy. This is helping to keep the unemployment rate at exceptionally low levels. When this pool of work is completed, the full impact of this rate rising cycle on employment will emerge.
“There is a risk that this volume of work on the ground is obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates.
“These treacherous lags that characterise this housing cycle could result in the RBA weighing too heavily on households and businesses and jeopardising the housing industry’s future soft landing. Patience is required to see the full effect of rate increases to date,” concluded Mr Ward.
HIA is calling on the Federal Government to act urgently to support Australia’s building product manufacturers and suppliers, an industry worth more than $130 billion and critical to the delivery of new housing across the country,” HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin said today.
With the delay to decisions on the content of NCC 2025, the ABCB has published a further amendment to the current NCC 2022 which applies from 29 July 2025. The purpose of this minor amendment is to align the NCC with recent changes to the Premises Standards which apply to Class 3 to 9 public buildings, common areas of Class 2 apartment buildings and short-term accommodation
“HIA alongside a group of construction leaders and Standards Australia came together today at Parliament House, to present a united front in getting easier access to Australian Standards in the hands of those who need them most,” said HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin.
HIA has made a comprehensive suite of submissions to the Productivity Commission ahead of the upcoming Treasurer’s Economic Reform Roundtable on 19-21 August.