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{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change locationRate hikes hit lending for new home building
Rate hikes hit lending for new home building
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The ABS released the Lending to Households and Businesses data for September 2022 today. The data provides sobering statistics on housing finance commitments.
“The total value of housing loans also fell by a further 8.2 per cent in September, to be 18.5 per cent lower than at the same time in the previous year,” added Mr Ward.
“The RBA’s tightening is weighing heavily on demand for housing and the full impact will not emerge until the second half of 2023,” stated HIA’s Senior Economist Nick Ward.
“This slowing in housing finance data is consistent with other leading indications, such as HIA’s New Home Sales Survey, which have fallen more than 15% in the September quarter.
“If these trends are sustained, which is expected, then the 2.75 per cent increase in the cash rate so far will have brought this boom to an end.
“There is still a significant volume of work under construction that is sustaining employment across the economy. This is helping to keep the unemployment rate at exceptionally low levels. When this pool of work is completed, the full impact of this rate rising cycle on employment will emerge.
“There is a risk that this volume of work on the ground is obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates.
“These treacherous lags that characterise this housing cycle could result in the RBA weighing too heavily on households and businesses and jeopardising the housing industry’s future soft landing. Patience is required to see the full effect of rate increases to date,” concluded Mr Ward.
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Population data highlights contradiction in government policy
“Australia’s population reached 27.4 million by the end of 2024, up by 445,900 people, or 1.7 per cent for the year,” stated HIA Senior Economist, Tom Devitt.
Tasmanian Election - Stadium or no stadium we still need housing
The Tasmanian election that no-one wanted to have is in full swing, and while the limited campaign period is unlikely to provide the usual platform to promote key policies and reforms, HIA is calling on both major parties to prioritise housing policies given the significant challenges across the state.
‘Getting Keys in Doors’ shouldn’t be this difficult
“Our dated and complex planning system is littered with speed bumps that could easily be removed”, said Brad Armitage, HIA NSW Executive Director.
New home building contract laws welcomed by HIA
“The Victorian government’s proposal to update home building contract laws to make them fit for use in the 21st century is welcomed by HIA,” stated HIA Executive Director, Keith Ryan.