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{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change locationLending for new homes reaches decade low
Lending for new homes reaches decade low
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“There were only 5,057 loans for the construction or purchase of new homes in November, the weakest month since June 2013,” stated HIA Economist, Tom Devitt.
The ABS released the Lending to Households and Businesses data for November 2022 today.
“This reflects the very well broadcast housing downturn, with new housing loans over the 12 months to November 2022 down by 36.2 per cent on the preceding year,” added Mr Devitt.
“Investors and owner-occupiers, alike, are retreating from the market.
“This contraction in lending occurred before the RBA increased the cash rate in December and we expect an ongoing decline in lending as the full impact of the increase in interest rates flows through to households.
“There are long lags inherent in this cycle and the full impact of the increase in the cash rate in 2022 will not be observed until late in 2023.
“The RBA has already undertaken the steepest hiking cycle in a generation, and it needs to hold fire on further hikes to give their actions to date time to play out.
“The RBA will not restore the economy to stable growth by putting the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“As building activity slows in 2023, the RBA will be under increasing pressure to reverse course in the second half of this year,” concluded Mr Devitt.
The number of loans for the construction or purchase of new homes declined in all jurisdictions in November 2022 compared to the same month in 2021, led by the Northern Territory (-58.3 per cent), and followed by the Australian Capital Territory (-39.7 per cent), Queensland (-30.8 per cent), Western Australia (-30.3 per cent), South Australia (-29.7 per cent), New South Wales (-26.8 per cent), Victoria (-15.2 per cent) and Tasmania (-7.4 per cent).
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Access to skilled labour a barrier to 1.2 million new homes
“The influx of overseas migrants into Australia in the last couple of years has added significant demand for new homes. Despite this, skilled trades in the residential sector are not recognised on the Australian government’s Skills Priority List,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.
Victoria should not accept mediocre Housing Scorecard result
HIA has released its Housing Scorecard. Once again Victoria is underperforming. With the Victorian State Budget next month there is also a risk that unnecessary tax increases will entrench this poor outcome.
Cuts to taxes on housing will be increasingly necessary to improve housing supply as interest rates remain high
“Today’s CPI figures are likely to see interest rates remain high for longer as inflation becomes increasingly embedded in the economy,” stated HIA’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon
South Australia tops Housing Scorecard again
“South Australia has once again taken out the top spot in HIA’s Housing Scorecard,” stated Stephen Knight, HIA Executive Director.