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“There were only 5,057 loans for the construction or purchase of new homes in November, the weakest month since June 2013,” stated HIA Economist, Tom Devitt.
The ABS released the Lending to Households and Businesses data for November 2022 today.
“This reflects the very well broadcast housing downturn, with new housing loans over the 12 months to November 2022 down by 36.2 per cent on the preceding year,” added Mr Devitt.
“Investors and owner-occupiers, alike, are retreating from the market.
“This contraction in lending occurred before the RBA increased the cash rate in December and we expect an ongoing decline in lending as the full impact of the increase in interest rates flows through to households.
“There are long lags inherent in this cycle and the full impact of the increase in the cash rate in 2022 will not be observed until late in 2023.
“The RBA has already undertaken the steepest hiking cycle in a generation, and it needs to hold fire on further hikes to give their actions to date time to play out.
“The RBA will not restore the economy to stable growth by putting the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“As building activity slows in 2023, the RBA will be under increasing pressure to reverse course in the second half of this year,” concluded Mr Devitt.
The number of loans for the construction or purchase of new homes declined in all jurisdictions in November 2022 compared to the same month in 2021, led by the Northern Territory (-58.3 per cent), and followed by the Australian Capital Territory (-39.7 per cent), Queensland (-30.8 per cent), Western Australia (-30.3 per cent), South Australia (-29.7 per cent), New South Wales (-26.8 per cent), Victoria (-15.2 per cent) and Tasmania (-7.4 per cent).
The Housing Industry Association has welcomed the announcement of the new ACT Labor ministry and looks forward to working with the government over the next four years to increase housing supply.
HIA has made a substantial submission on the draft Greater Adelaide Regional Plan – 2024 (GARP) outlining a number of key concerns on the proposed plan.
CBOS has advised that it will conduct a selection of Building Health Check Audit of Tasmanian licensed builders involved in residential construction projects.
HIA submitted comments on the Future Living Code Amendment. HIA supports the work undertaken by the South Australian State Planning Commission which aims at addressing the ‘missing middle’ of housing in this state.