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“Lending for new homes is down by 62.4 per cent since its peak in January 2021, to its lowest level since November 2012,” added Mr Reardon.
“Sales of new homes have stalled in recent months as market confidence declines.
“This poor data is as a consequence of the fastest increase in the cash rate in a generation. Despite this, the impact of last year’s rate increases won’t be fully apparent until late this year.
“The decision by the RBA to increase rates further in 2023, will further erode market confidence and accelerate the downturn that is already evident.
“There are significant lags between a change in the cash rate and its impact on the economy. In this cycle, it will take up to 18 months before the impact of the May 2022 rate increase fully flows through to employment in the sector.
“The supply chain disruptions of the pandemic are easing. Inflation in other economies is slowing and interest rates are not the only tool at governments’ disposal to address the inflationary problem,” concluded Mr Reardon.
In what has been a difficult time for many Victorians, HIA welcomes the package of support measures announced by the Allan and Albanese Governments to support businesses, individuals and communities affected by the recent Victorian bushfires.
“HIA is disappointed that the Victorian government has announced new proposals to further increase property taxes,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.
HIA says residential builders and trades remain cautious about hiring in 2026. Not due to a lack of housing demand, but because of mounting cost pressures, regulatory hurdles, and persistent skills shortages, according to a survey of small to medium enterprise members.
Workplace laws are set for more changes in 2026.