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The HIA New Home Sales report – a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states – is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“Sales in the month of February rose by 14.3 per cent compared to the previous month but remain exceptionally low,” added Mr Reardon.
“Sales of new homes stalled late in 2022 as the adverse impact of the RBA’s rate increases continue to erode market confidence.
“When the cash rate started to rise in May 2022 there was a very large pool of work to commence construction. This pool of work yet to commence is shrinking quickly as new sales remain very low and the number of new projects entering the pipeline falls.
“Tighter access to finance and a higher cash rate is seeing many new home buyers withdraw from the market. Customers that received approval to build a new home early in 2022 are cancelling these projects as the cost-of-living bites and banks withdraw financing.
“Without an improvement in access to finance, or a lowering of rates, the number of new homes commencing construction will slow later this year.
“The RBA isn’t going to return the economy to stability by putting the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles,” concluded HIA’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
For the three months to February 2023, compared to the same period the previous year, new home sales in New South Wales were down by 76.6 per cent, followed by Queensland (-51.2 per cent), Victoria (-42.3 per cent), Western Australia (-14.8 per cent) and South Australia (-6.0 per cent).
HIA provided a submission on the Workers Compensation Legislation Amendment Bill 2025 Inquiry, referred to the Public Accountability and Work Committee.
“Consistent with the recommendations from the Henry Tax Review: Don’t change negative gearing or capital gains tax until supply has been addressed and the purpose of the productivity summit should not be to increase the taxes on housing,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
The state government has established the Small Sites Pilot Program to unlock government land for housing development.
“Sales of new detached homes increased by 18.8 per cent in the three months to June 2025 compared to the previous three months,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.