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HIA released its economic and industry Outlook report today. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.
“There has been a rapid slowdown in the volume of new building projects entering the pipeline, especially new apartments, over the past year,” added Mr Reardon.
“The sharp increase in the cash rate has compounded the barriers created by extraordinary restrictions on lending and investing, increased construction costs and regulatory costs.
“The rise in the cash rate is the key reason for the slowdown in the number of new homes commencing construction. There are long lags in this cycle and the full impact of the increases to date will not be apparent, until late 2024.
“Leading indicators of home building activity have fallen to exceptionally low levels. New home sales are almost 50 per cent lower than a year ago. Lending for the purchase or construction of a new home has fallen to its lowest level since 2008.
“The slowdown in the commencement of new homes is counter to the goal of increasing supply and delivering one million homes over the next five years.
“Beyond the rise in the cash rate, the supply of new homes is also constrained by a range of regulatory and cyclical challenges. The Government’s Housing Australia’s Future Fund isn’t a solution to all of these problems, but it is a necessary step toward improving the supply of new homes.
“Removing barriers to investment, reforming local council planning processes and stable economic settings are also necessary steps,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“The focus on Fee Free TAFE is distracting from the real issue facing the supply of housing in Australia. Successive governments have been aware of the persistent and structural skill shortages across key construction trades for decades and the current policy approaches are doing very little to shift the dial,” said HIA Managing Director Jocelyn Martin.
Reports featured in the media today are a good reminder that home ownership still matters to Australians, and we need to build more housing, of all types to keep the dream of home ownership alive,” said Brad Armitage, HIA Executive Director NSW.
On behalf of all of us at HIA we would like to wish you a very happy 2025! As everyone heads back to work for the new year, we are sharing some exclusive member updates to get you ready for what lies ahead and perhaps what you might have missed while you were away.
HIA has read with interest the Homes for NSW Discussion Paper, and particularly the intention to deliver more and better homes and develop a system that is flexible enough to respond to emerging needs and new approaches.