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HIA released its economic and industry Outlook report today. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.
“There has been a rapid slowdown in the volume of new building projects entering the pipeline, especially new apartments, over the past year,” added Mr Reardon.
“The sharp increase in the cash rate has compounded the barriers created by extraordinary restrictions on lending and investing, increased construction costs and regulatory costs.
“The rise in the cash rate is the key reason for the slowdown in the number of new homes commencing construction. There are long lags in this cycle and the full impact of the increases to date will not be apparent, until late 2024.
“Leading indicators of home building activity have fallen to exceptionally low levels. New home sales are almost 50 per cent lower than a year ago. Lending for the purchase or construction of a new home has fallen to its lowest level since 2008.
“The slowdown in the commencement of new homes is counter to the goal of increasing supply and delivering one million homes over the next five years.
“Beyond the rise in the cash rate, the supply of new homes is also constrained by a range of regulatory and cyclical challenges. The Government’s Housing Australia’s Future Fund isn’t a solution to all of these problems, but it is a necessary step toward improving the supply of new homes.
“Removing barriers to investment, reforming local council planning processes and stable economic settings are also necessary steps,” concluded Mr Reardon.
The Housing Industry Association’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon, said the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest decision to increase interest rates reflects the ongoing challenge of bringing inflation under control, but warned that higher rates will further restrict the supply of new homes.
Standing on a construction site with work well underway, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) Tasmania today joined Treasurer Eric Abetz MP in welcoming the impact of the Tasmanian Government’s First Home Owner Grant, recently tripled to $30,000, which is already helping more Tasmanians build their first home.
HIA commented on the Climate Change and Natural Hazards State Environmental Planning Policy Explanation of Intended Effect (February 2026), a submission to NSW Government.
A proposed WA law aims to scrap Project Bank Accounts and introduce automatic construction trusts for State Government projects over $1.5 million. The reforms promise simpler payment processes - but also tougher, ongoing financial scrutiny for builders. Here’s what it could mean for your business.