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HIA released its economic and industry Outlook report today. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.
“There has been a rapid slowdown in the volume of new building projects entering the pipeline, especially new apartments, over the past year,” added Mr Reardon.
“The sharp increase in the cash rate has compounded the barriers created by extraordinary restrictions on lending and investing, increased construction costs and regulatory costs.
“The rise in the cash rate is the key reason for the slowdown in the number of new homes commencing construction. There are long lags in this cycle and the full impact of the increases to date will not be apparent, until late 2024.
“Leading indicators of home building activity have fallen to exceptionally low levels. New home sales are almost 50 per cent lower than a year ago. Lending for the purchase or construction of a new home has fallen to its lowest level since 2008.
“The slowdown in the commencement of new homes is counter to the goal of increasing supply and delivering one million homes over the next five years.
“Beyond the rise in the cash rate, the supply of new homes is also constrained by a range of regulatory and cyclical challenges. The Government’s Housing Australia’s Future Fund isn’t a solution to all of these problems, but it is a necessary step toward improving the supply of new homes.
“Removing barriers to investment, reforming local council planning processes and stable economic settings are also necessary steps,” concluded Mr Reardon.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) today welcomed the Tasmanian Government’s announcement that Mr Ben Wilson has been appointed interim Chief Executive Officer of Homes Tasmania, stepping down from his role as Chair of the Homes Tasmania Board.
“Today is a bad day for business in NSW with the passage of the Digital Work Systems Bill,” said Brad Armitage, HIA NSW Executive Director.
The South Australian Government recently introduced changes to the laws that deal with licensing of builders and trades, as well as domestic building contracts. These changes commenced on 15 January 2026.
“There were 31,780 loans issued to first home buyers in the final quarter of 2025, up by 6.8 per cent on the previous quarter, and the strongest performance in almost four years,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.