{{ propApi.searchIcon }}
{{ propApi.closeIcon }}
Our industry
Our industry $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Housing industry insights Economics Insights Data & forecasts Tailored research & analysis Advocacy & policy Advocacy Policy priorities Position statements Submissions News & inspiration Industry news Member alerts Media releases HOUSING Online
Business support
Business support $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Support & guidance Ask an expert Contracts & compliance support Building & planning services Australian Standards Member perks Toyota vehicles The Good Guys Commercial Ampol fuel savings See all Industry insurance HIA Insurance Services Construction works insurance Home warranty insurance Tradies & tool insurance For your business Contracts Online Safety systems & solutions HIA SafeScan Apprentices Why host a HIA apprentice? Hire an apprentice Value for money
Resources & advice
Resources & advice $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Building it right Building codes National Construction Code Australian standards See all Building materials & products Concrete, bricks & walls Getting products approved Use the right products for the job See all Managing your business Dealing with contracts Handling disputes Managing your employees See all Managing your safety Safety rules Working with silica See all Building your business Growing your business Communication for your business See all Other subjects Getting approval to build Sustainable homes See all
Careers & learning
Careers & learning $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
A rewarding career Become an apprentice Apprenticeships on offer How do I apply? Frequently asked questions Study with us Find a course to suit you Qualification courses Learning on demand Professional development courses A job in the industry Get your builder's licence Continuing Professional Development (CPD) Further your career
HIA community
HIA community $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Grow with us Sign me up Become a member Member benefits Mates rates Our podcasts Made To Build Built Different HIA Building Australia Building the Hunter Our initiatives HIA Building Women Charitable Foundation GreenSmart Kitchen, bathroom & design hub Get involved Become an award judge Join a committee Meet our members Partner with us
Awards & events
Awards & events $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Awards Awards program People & Business Awards GreenSmart Australian Housing Awards Awards winners Regional Award winners Australian Housing Award winners 2026 Australian Home of the Year Industry events Events in the next month Economic outlook National Conference Events calendar
HIA shop
HIA shop $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
Most popular products National Construction Code Vol 1 & 2 Waterproofing wet areas AS 3740:2021 HIA Guide to Waterproofing HIA Guide to NCC Livable Housing Provisions Top categories Building codes & standards Contracts & documents Guides & manuals Safety products Signage For your business Contracts Online Digital Australian Standards Digital Resource Library Forecasts & data
About Contact Newsroom
$vuetify.icons.faTimes
$vuetify.icons.faMapMarker Set my location Use the field below to update your location
Address
Change location
{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.text}} {{region}} Change location
{{propApi.title}}
{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change location

$vuetify.icons.faPhone1300 650 620

Supply of new homes set to slow further

Media release

Supply of new homes set to slow further

Media release
"Despite record levels of migration, the number of new homes commencing construction is set to slow for at least the next 12 months,” stated HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon.

HIA released its economic and industry Outlook report today. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.

“There has been a rapid slowdown in the volume of new building projects entering the pipeline, especially new apartments, over the past year,” added Mr Reardon.

“The sharp increase in the cash rate has compounded the barriers created by extraordinary restrictions on lending and investing, increased construction costs and regulatory costs.

“The rise in the cash rate is the key reason for the slowdown in the number of new homes commencing construction. There are long lags in this cycle and the full impact of the increases to date will not be apparent, until late 2024.

“Leading indicators of home building activity have fallen to exceptionally low levels. New home sales are almost 50 per cent lower than a year ago. Lending for the purchase or construction of a new home has fallen to its lowest level since 2008.

“The slowdown in the commencement of new homes is counter to the goal of increasing supply and delivering one million homes over the next five years.

“Beyond the rise in the cash rate, the supply of new homes is also constrained by a range of regulatory and cyclical challenges. The Government’s Housing Australia’s Future Fund isn’t a solution to all of these problems, but it is a necessary step toward improving the supply of new homes.

“Removing barriers to investment, reforming local council planning processes and stable economic settings are also necessary steps,” concluded Mr Reardon.

HIA Forecast - Australia

Source: HIA Economics, ABS

For more information please contact:

Tim Reardon

HIA Chief Economist

Thomas Devitt

Senior Economist
Latest articles
View all news $vuetify.icons.faArrowRight
04 Aug
NT Government releases Housing Strategy 2026 - 2030

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the Northern Territory Government's release of the NT Housing Strategy 2026-2030, describing it as another positive step towards addressing one of the Territory's most significant economic and social challenges.

04 Aug
NT Housing Strategy a positive step, but delivery will be key

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the Northern Territory Government's release of the Housing Strategy 2026-2030, describing it as an important step towards addressing the Territory's housing shortage and supporting long-term economic growth.

04 Aug
New Victorian Cabinet announced

This morning the new Victorian Premier announced his Cabinet. This member alert summarises the key changes and impacts of this announcement.

04 Aug
Parliamentary Joint Committee Inquiry into Small Business Insurance

Simon Croft, HIA Chief Executive Industry and Policy, delivered the following opening statement in Melbourne today.