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“Today’s decision marks the 12th rate increase since the RBA began this cycle in May 2022 and the impact of these early rate increases are only just emerging in official data.
“This downturn in leading indicators includes:
“There was a large pool of work yet to commence construction in May 2022 which has obscured the adverse impact of rate rises to date. The lags in this cycle are significantly longer than previous cycles.
“The impact of rate increases to date are starting to emerge in official housing data, but it will take a further 12 months for this slowdown to be apparent in work on the ground, and the wider economy.
“This will see the number of homes commencing construction slow, as population growth accelerates.
“In addition to the increase in rates, home building is also set to decline as regulatory costs continue to add to the cost of new home construction. If governments continue to make building new homes more expensive, fewer new homes will be built.
“The RBA’s recognition that the housing issue is due to a failure to build enough homes is a welcome move, but it remains to be seen how this would influence future cash rate decisions.
“It also highlights that interest rates are a very blunt and ineffective tool in managing inflation and the wider economy. Fiscal policy is a far more effective and precise tool,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“An investment in new home building from the Future Fund would support increasing housing supply and could be used to overcome structural barriers to increasing the supply of new apartments which are vital to addressing Australia’s housing shortages,” stated Jocelyn Martin, HIA Managing Director.
HIA is proud to support the first Bricklaying Job Ready program in Geraldton that commenced on 4 November this year. The program has come as the result of hard work and collaboration from Brick & Block careers, Central Regional TAFE and the Western Australian Government.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) in the ACT & Southern NSW has announced the year’s winning homes, kitchens and bathrooms on Saturday 16 November, celebrating exceptional builds across the region.