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The HIA New Home Sales report – a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states – is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“This month’s decline leaves sales in the three months to July 2023 down by 33.4 per cent compared to the same period in 2022,” added Mr Devitt.
“Weak new home sales, together with an elevated number of previous sales being cancelled, reinforce the expectation that Australia will see a decade-low level of home building next year. Even a cut to the cash rate now would not produce a recovery in new house commencements until the second half of 2024.
"Underlying demand for housing continues to be supported by population growth, acute shortages of rental accommodation and strong employment figures.
“Meeting the appropriate levels of new housing for Australia’s current and future population will require changes to the other policies that inflate construction costs. These are not only interest rates, but also tax settings, land release and planning reforms, and macro-prudential rules that squeeze out owner-occupiers and investors alike.
“The National Cabinet’s recent announcement to increase its five-year housing supply target is a welcome step in the right direction.
“Coordination among all levels of government and the industry will be crucial to achieving this goal,” concluded Mr Devitt.
Compared to the previous month, sales in July 2023 decreased in most of the large states, led by Queensland (-11.6 per cent) and followed by Western Australia (-9.3 per cent), New South Wales (-1.6 per cent) and Victoria (-0.6 per cent). South Australia was the only state to see an increase (+35.5 per cent).
Similarly, sales in the three months to July 2023 decreased compared to the same period in 2022 across most of the large states. This was led by Queensland (-52.3 per cent) and followed by New South Wales (-48.4 per cent), Victoria (-37.2 per cent) and South Australia (-26.0 per cent). Sales in Western Australia on the other hand increased by 17.3 per cent.
“Tonight’s Budget-reply by the Coalition included a key measure to provide $12,000 of financial support for small businesses and tradies to take on an apprentice and support them through their trade” stated HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers, in his Budget speech stated: “And we’re easing pressure on the housing market by banning foreign investors from buying established homes and cracking down on foreign land banking as well.
“The Albanese government’s fourth Federal Budget provided a critical juncture to double down and pull out all stops to address the nation’s crippling housing crisis, but, yet again it was a case of focusing on small target solutions, “ Managing Director HIA Jocelyn Martin said today.
“Inadequate planning for growth in the demand for land and housing has contributed substantially to the excessive cost and significant undersupply of new homes being felt across all states and territories,” said Mike Hermon, HIA Executive Director Planning & Environment.