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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“The spike in sales that emerged in September, caused by regulatory changes in NSW, was more than reversed in October,” added Mr Devitt.
“Buyers rushed to get ahead of NSW regulations that will add significantly to the cost of a new home, causing an extraordinary spike in sales in the state in September.
“This drawing forward of home purchasing decisions is anticipated to continue weighing on sales over coming months.
“The sales performance in October was consistent with the weakness observed throughout 2023 and will see new house starts continue to decline.
“Interest rates continue to weigh on confidence, with the industry headed for its weakest year of new house commencements in over a decade.
“The RBA’s November decision to continue the steepest hiking cycle in a generation, risks further deepening and prolonging this trough in home building.
“This coincides with Australia’s deepening housing crisis, with record population growth and acute rental shortages reflecting the need for a strong pipeline of new housing supply.
“Increasing the supply of homes will require policymakers to help lower the cost of building. This means reforms to tax, land release and planning, and loosening macro-prudential rules that squeeze out owner-occupiers and investors alike,” concluded Mr Devitt.
New home sales across Australia in the three months to October fell by 5.8 per cent compared to the same quarter in the previous year. By jurisdiction, sales were similarly down in South Australia (-20.1 per cent), New South Wales (-17.4 per cent), Queensland (-15.0 per cent) and Victoria (-13.8 per cent). Sales in Western Australia increased by 42.2 per cent compared to the same three-month period in 2022.
With the Tasmanian state election on 19 July fast approaching, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the strong focus from both major parties on policies that boost housing supply.
On 11 July the South Australian Government announced changes to the maximum payout and minimum works value for building indemnity insurance (BII) in South Australia.
HIA provided a submission to the NSW Net Zero Commission.
“Expanding complying development will speed-up the delivery of keys in doors to new homes sooner,” said Brad Armitage HIA Executive Director NSW.