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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“The spike in sales that emerged in September, caused by regulatory changes in NSW, was more than reversed in October,” added Mr Devitt.
“Buyers rushed to get ahead of NSW regulations that will add significantly to the cost of a new home, causing an extraordinary spike in sales in the state in September.
“This drawing forward of home purchasing decisions is anticipated to continue weighing on sales over coming months.
“The sales performance in October was consistent with the weakness observed throughout 2023 and will see new house starts continue to decline.
“Interest rates continue to weigh on confidence, with the industry headed for its weakest year of new house commencements in over a decade.
“The RBA’s November decision to continue the steepest hiking cycle in a generation, risks further deepening and prolonging this trough in home building.
“This coincides with Australia’s deepening housing crisis, with record population growth and acute rental shortages reflecting the need for a strong pipeline of new housing supply.
“Increasing the supply of homes will require policymakers to help lower the cost of building. This means reforms to tax, land release and planning, and loosening macro-prudential rules that squeeze out owner-occupiers and investors alike,” concluded Mr Devitt.
New home sales across Australia in the three months to October fell by 5.8 per cent compared to the same quarter in the previous year. By jurisdiction, sales were similarly down in South Australia (-20.1 per cent), New South Wales (-17.4 per cent), Queensland (-15.0 per cent) and Victoria (-13.8 per cent). Sales in Western Australia increased by 42.2 per cent compared to the same three-month period in 2022.
Despite the nation falling behind in its housing targets, the Federal Government has left apprentices and employers in limbo with uncertainty of funding beyond Christmas, says the Housing Industry Association (HIA).
“Home renovation activity nears record high, boosted by rising home prices and low unemployment,” stated Tim Reardon, HIA Chief Economist.
“Today is a great day for the housing industry in NSW with passage of the Planning System Reforms Bill 2025 through parliament,” said Brad Armitage, HIA NSW Executive Director.
Starting 1 July 2026, domestic building insurance (DBI) will only be available through the Building and Plumbing Commission (BPC), which has replaced the VMIA in providing this product.