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“Each of these indicators of future economic activity are falling or around, some of their lowest level in decades.
“The fastest increase in the cash rate in a generation is the primary cause of these poor results in indicators of future growth.
“The RBA’s monetary policy tightening is yet to adversely impact the lagging indicators of economic activity like unemployment or inflation.
“There were very long lags in this cycle due to the strength of the economy at the start of the RBA’s rate rising cycle in the first half of 2022.
“Today’s rate rise is unnecessary and will cause further contraction in new home building, constraining the supply of new homes.
“The impact of strong population growth on the national economy and home building cannot be overstated.
“It is helping restore government finances, sustaining retail activity and addressing shortages of skilled workers and it will support new home starts over the course of the decade.
“But strong migration is also obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates on key economic data, such as GDP, retail expenditure and house prices.
“Stable and reliable migration has been a cornerstone of Australia’s economic growth. This has been disrupted by two years without migration and then two years of catch up.
“This disruption to migration is now distorting the RBA’s decision making.
“A return to stable business conditions cannot be achieved by sending the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“The RBA should have waited for the full impact of their decisions to date emerge in 2024 before adjusting rates again,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes today’s Federal Budget announcement of a half a billion dollar investment to modernise environmental approvals that will help deliver a faster, technology enabled and fit for purpose system that supports urgently needed housing supply,” said HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the news that the 2026/27 Federal Budget will invest an additional $2 billion over four years to fund critical infrastructure, which will support the construction of up to 65,000 new homes.
The Housing Industry Association has warned that recycled proposals to restrict negative gearing or reduce the capital gains tax discount risk worsening Australia’s housing shortage by reducing investment into new housing supply.
The Federal Government today outlined a strong productivity focused agenda in this year’s Federal Budget, with targeted measures to support housing delivery and small business growth — reflecting long standing advocacy from the Housing Industry Association (HIA).