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“Each of these indicators of future economic activity are falling or around, some of their lowest level in decades.
“The fastest increase in the cash rate in a generation is the primary cause of these poor results in indicators of future growth.
“The RBA’s monetary policy tightening is yet to adversely impact the lagging indicators of economic activity like unemployment or inflation.
“There were very long lags in this cycle due to the strength of the economy at the start of the RBA’s rate rising cycle in the first half of 2022.
“Today’s rate rise is unnecessary and will cause further contraction in new home building, constraining the supply of new homes.
“The impact of strong population growth on the national economy and home building cannot be overstated.
“It is helping restore government finances, sustaining retail activity and addressing shortages of skilled workers and it will support new home starts over the course of the decade.
“But strong migration is also obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates on key economic data, such as GDP, retail expenditure and house prices.
“Stable and reliable migration has been a cornerstone of Australia’s economic growth. This has been disrupted by two years without migration and then two years of catch up.
“This disruption to migration is now distorting the RBA’s decision making.
“A return to stable business conditions cannot be achieved by sending the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“The RBA should have waited for the full impact of their decisions to date emerge in 2024 before adjusting rates again,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“There were 9,490 detached homes approved in the month of April 2025, up by 3.3 per cent compared to the previous month,” stated HIA Senior Economist Maurice Tapang.
The Treasurer has handed down the 2025/26 Tasmanian Budget. The Budget focuses on alleviating cost of living pressures, health, education and infrastructure, while mapping out a path to a fiscal balance surplus in 2032/2033.
“The NSW planning system has failed to deliver the number of homes we desperately need and we fully support removing the politics from housing, to address this growing crisis,” said Brad Armitage, HIA Executive Director NSW.
The Victorian Opposition’s announcement that it would remove stamp duty for first-home buyers spending up to $1 million on a new or existing home if elected at next year’s state election, is a positive step towards improving home affordability,” says Steven Wojtkiw, HIA Victoria Deputy Executive Director.