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“Each of these indicators of future economic activity are falling or around, some of their lowest level in decades.
“The fastest increase in the cash rate in a generation is the primary cause of these poor results in indicators of future growth.
“The RBA’s monetary policy tightening is yet to adversely impact the lagging indicators of economic activity like unemployment or inflation.
“There were very long lags in this cycle due to the strength of the economy at the start of the RBA’s rate rising cycle in the first half of 2022.
“Today’s rate rise is unnecessary and will cause further contraction in new home building, constraining the supply of new homes.
“The impact of strong population growth on the national economy and home building cannot be overstated.
“It is helping restore government finances, sustaining retail activity and addressing shortages of skilled workers and it will support new home starts over the course of the decade.
“But strong migration is also obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates on key economic data, such as GDP, retail expenditure and house prices.
“Stable and reliable migration has been a cornerstone of Australia’s economic growth. This has been disrupted by two years without migration and then two years of catch up.
“This disruption to migration is now distorting the RBA’s decision making.
“A return to stable business conditions cannot be achieved by sending the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“The RBA should have waited for the full impact of their decisions to date emerge in 2024 before adjusting rates again,” concluded Mr Reardon.
The housing industry is calling on the Australian Government to allow self-managed super funds (SMSFs) to continue borrowing to build new homes, at least until the impact of its new borrowing restrictions on housing supply is independently assessed and made public.
“HIA welcomes Senator Andrew Bragg putting National Construction Code reform squarely at the centre of the housing affordability and productivity debate,” said HIA Chief Executive – Industry & Policy, Simon Croft.
HIA has welcomed the interim report of the Senate Select Committee on Productivity in Australia, saying it confirms housing affordability and supply are now critical determinants of the nation's economic performance.
Ahead of Victoria's November election, the Housing Industry Association (HIA) is calling on all political parties to commit to one simple, low-cost principle that would provide immediate relief to the state's housing sector and small businesses: do no harm.