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“Each of these indicators of future economic activity are falling or around, some of their lowest level in decades.
“The fastest increase in the cash rate in a generation is the primary cause of these poor results in indicators of future growth.
“The RBA’s monetary policy tightening is yet to adversely impact the lagging indicators of economic activity like unemployment or inflation.
“There were very long lags in this cycle due to the strength of the economy at the start of the RBA’s rate rising cycle in the first half of 2022.
“Today’s rate rise is unnecessary and will cause further contraction in new home building, constraining the supply of new homes.
“The impact of strong population growth on the national economy and home building cannot be overstated.
“It is helping restore government finances, sustaining retail activity and addressing shortages of skilled workers and it will support new home starts over the course of the decade.
“But strong migration is also obscuring the adverse impact of rising interest rates on key economic data, such as GDP, retail expenditure and house prices.
“Stable and reliable migration has been a cornerstone of Australia’s economic growth. This has been disrupted by two years without migration and then two years of catch up.
“This disruption to migration is now distorting the RBA’s decision making.
“A return to stable business conditions cannot be achieved by sending the building industry through boom-and-bust cycles.
“The RBA should have waited for the full impact of their decisions to date emerge in 2024 before adjusting rates again,” concluded Mr Reardon.
The Housing Industry Association welcomes today's State Government announcement to support local manufacturing capability and capacity through the Housing Innovation Fund.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has welcomed the ACT Government’s decision to progress the Missing Middle Housing reforms. This is a critical step toward increasing housing supply and improving housing choice across Canberra.
The Federal Budget 2026 introduces the most significant structural changes to housing taxation in decades. As the implications of the Budget became a little clearer this week, HIA’s Chief Economist, Tim Reardon and I have put together this summary
HIA responded to the Consultation Paper on the Review of Australia’s Mutual Recognition Schemes for Workers which details the Council’s interim findings on barriers to a single national market for workers supported by the mutual recognition framework and triggers the second round of consultation associated with the review.