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The Australian Bureau of Statistics today released its monthly building approvals data for November 2023 for detached houses and multi-units covering all states and territories.
“The fall in this month’s figures sees approvals in the three months to November lower by 8.0 per cent compared to the same period in the previous year,” added Mr Reardon.
“The low volume of building approvals throughout 2023 will see the volume of homes commencing construction continue to slow this year.
“Other leading indicators of activity in the housing market, such as new home sales and housing finance data, are also consistent with their confirmation of this projected slowdown.
“The rise in the cash rate is the primary cause of this slowdown in approvals.
“A continued fall in the number of new homes approved indicates a slow start to the Australian government’s ambition to build 1.2 million new homes in five years starting mid-2024,” concluded Mr Reardon.
In seasonally adjusted terms, decreases in house approvals in the three months to November compared to the same period in the previous year were led by New South Wales (-16.0 per cent), Victoria (-7.2 per cent), South Australia (-6.6 per cent) and Queensland (-6.0 per cent). Western Australia saw a 5.4 per cent increase over the same period. In original terms, detached approvals in the same period fell in the Northern Territory (-30.5 per cent) and in Tasmania (-21.9 per cent), while the Australian Capital Territory saw an increase (+3.0 per cent).
HIA is aware that over the past week members have been receiving a range of advice from suppliers on cost increases to several building materials and other related construction equipment such as skips, plant and equipment hire.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has backed Brisbane City Council’s ‘More Homes, Sooner’ plan, warning that community opposition risks undermining much-needed housing supply and worsening affordability pressures across the city.
HIA is aware that industry is raising concerns about price increases to fuel and materials arising from the conflict in the Middle East. To assist members to account and respond to price increases we have prepared information on dealing with cost uncertainties and fluctuations under HIA contracts.
This opinion piece from HIA Chief Economist Tim Reardon responds to the Reserve Bank of Australia Financial Stability Review and discusses how the cumulative tightening of macroprudential settings has increasingly locked first home buyers out of the market.