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{{propApi.successMessage}} {{region}} Change locationHome building in the NT is forecast to grow
Home building in the NT is forecast to grow
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HIA released its Economic and Industry Outlook report on Friday. The report includes updated forecasts for new home building and renovations activity nationally and for each of the eight states and territories.
“Dwelling commencements in the Northern Territory have been very weak in the second half of 2023. This is the first time in over three decades that quarterly commencements have fallen below 100,” added Mr Espinoza.
“Total housing commencements are remarkably low at these levels, primarily driven by higher interest rates.
“A slightly stronger recovery is expected in the second half of 2024, on the back of improving economic conditions and government support, as the Territory’s election time in August nears.
“A long-term recovery in home building requires a return of market confidence, growth in employment and population.
“Promises of infrastructure and mining projects can help improve the current state of the economy. There have been a couple of announcements in the last few weeks which might see some movement in the second half of 2024.
Mr Espinoza also said that the announcement and awarding for the development of the new suburb of Greater Holtze will go some of the way in increasing housing supply for local Territorians.
“HIA welcomes the announcement by the Chief Minister Eva Lawler of hundreds of lots ready with titles by the end of 2025.
“Building the Northern Territory’s share of the Australian Government’s 1.2 million homes target will require government action and an improvement in broader economic conditions,” concluded Mr Espinoza.
Detached house commencements: There is forecast to be 450 detached homes that will commence construction in 2023/24, down by 12.8 per cent compared to the previous year and down by more than a third compared to the peak in 2020/21. This is expected to recover in subsequent years, to 730 in 2024/25, 920 in 2025/26, and 990 in 2026/27, which is forecast to be the peak of the decade.
Total dwelling commencements: Overall dwelling commencements are expected to rise by a modest 7.6 per cent in 2023/24, before mounting a stronger recovery in subsequent years. Dwelling commencements are expected to continue recovering, to reach over 1,600 in 2026/27.
HIA Forecasts
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Signs of a pulse in Canberra building approvals
Building approvals for dwellings in Canberra for the year to the end of March have shown some signs that the market may be turning the corner but still remain well below government targets.
Low volume of home building but labour shortages linger
“Australia has just seen its two weakest years of new home commencements in over a decade, meaning these ongoing shortages of skilled trades are not being caused by home building activity,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
Building approvals strengthen in March quarter
“There were 48,620 new homes approved for construction in the first quarter of 2025, up by 20.8 per cent on a year earlier,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.
New Government must put housing as first order of business
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