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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“Changes to the National Construction Code (NCC) came into effect in Victoria on the first of May. This is now proving to add thousands of dollars to the cost of construction through the Code’s new liveable housing, energy efficiency and condensation mitigation standards,” added Mr Ryan.
“To get ahead of these cost increases, home buyers rushed to sign the contract for the construction of their new home by the end of April.
“New South Wales experienced the same phenomenon last September when the state introduced its latest energy efficiency standards, adding significantly to the cost of a new home. This was followed by an equally large drop in sales in the subsequent months.
“Policy makers can take no joy in the April new home sales numbers as they will be short-lived. As with New South Wales, a ‘shadow’ of demand for new homes is expected in Victoria in May and June, reflecting the sales that were drawn forward into April.
“Additional regulatory costs, such as the NCC changes, are one of the causes of the acute shortage of housing. The changes are intended to achieve energy efficiency and accessibility outcomes, but they also force people out of homeownership and the rental market.
“The cruel reality about the building code changes is that many people are not in a position to commit to building a new home until interest rates start to fall. These potential home buyers now have even less purchasing power and probably will need to wait longer to achieve their goal of owning of their own home.
“Ongoing changes to building codes will continue inflating the costs of construction with the next phase of building codes now open for public consultation. There is a real risk that government indifference to the increased costs resulting from new building codes will be disregarded when deciding when the proposed changes should commence.
“If ever there were a good time to stop inflating the cost of home building, that time is now.
“Governments need to slow down if not pause the pace of change in building codes that have dominated the home building environment in recent years. Consumers also need a break, as each change adds to the cost of housing.
“Lowering the cost and red tape associated with building and delivering new homes to market is essential to achieving the Victorian Government’s target of 800,000 new homes over the next decade, and improving housing affordability across the state,” concluded Mr Ryan.
“The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the announcement of the new Ministerial cabinet, set out by the Prime Minister today, and in particular the expansion of the housing portfolio to take in the future cities planning and a separate special envoy focused on social housing and homelessness,” said HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin.
Building approvals for dwellings in Canberra for the year to the end of March have shown some signs that the market may be turning the corner but still remain well below government targets.
“Australia has just seen its two weakest years of new home commencements in over a decade, meaning these ongoing shortages of skilled trades are not being caused by home building activity,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“There were 48,620 new homes approved for construction in the first quarter of 2025, up by 20.8 per cent on a year earlier,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.