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In the years since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Australia’s financial market and banking regulators have sought to create an ‘unquestionably strong’ financial system. This decade of reforms have reduced risk in the system has come at a cost. This cost is borne by first time home buyers who are being forced out of the market, which is contributing to the decline in home ownership.
The collapse of several major financial institutions in the US and Europe during the GFC led banking regulators around the world, including Australia, to review the regulatory landscape for the banking sector. There have been substantial changes for the industry over the ensuing decade. Given that residential mortgage lending was at the epicentre of the GFC, this has been a key focus of financial system regulators.
Concerns of a financial contagion spreading to Australia led the Government to take the unprecedented action to guarantee deposits of the major banks. Since this time, Treasury and other regulatory agencies have been working to reduce the risk of residential mortgage business within the banks for fear that they may once again be required to assume the banks’ risk.
It is worth noting that while the GFC led to an increase in impaired loans, the share of lending that this affected was still very small. At its worst in mid-2010, impaired loans by ADIs (authorised deposit-taking institutions) accounted for only 1.6 per cent of lending. This figure includes all forms of lending, many of which are considered much higher risk than residential mortgage lending. This was small compared with the experience of banks in other jurisdictions during the GFC.
The RBA’s decision this week following the recent resurgence of inflation highlights the dangerous dichotomy of Australia’s economy: households and businesses vs government.
Australia does need more social housing.
Australia faces a persistent and growing housing supply shortfall. Population growth has accelerated, while the delivery of new homes has failed to keep pace. This report examines the role of foreign investor taxes and regulations in contributing to that imbalance and finds that these policies have materially constrained new housing supply while delivering uncertain and potentially negative, revenue outcomes.
The Australian Financial Review article (13 January 2026) “Wind back capital gains tax break, Labor told” rests on a fundamental misdiagnosis of Australia’s housing challenge.