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Above-trend population growth remains driven by elevated net overseas migration.
Net overseas migration (NOM) was 26.3 per cent higher over the 2023 calendar year. The rate of migration did however slow in the December quarter 2023.
This still leaves the estimated resident population around 25,000 people below its pre-pandemic trajectory. This is based on the rate of growth from the decade to 2020.
“The building industry has consistently argued for stable and reliable population growth. The boom/bust cycles in migration seen over the pandemic period leads to undesirable economic, social and business outcomes,” said HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“As the main determinant of population growth, the fluctuating nature of NOM has a crucial impact on workforce participation numbers, national skills capacity, productivity and overall economic output,” added Mr Reardon.
“HIA supports a managed migration program that delivers adequate skilled migrants in construction and building professions and trades to meet Australia’s ongoing housing needs.
“HIA estimates that Australia’s future underlying housing demand sits above 200,000 homes per year. Unfortunately, only 172,725 dwellings were completed in the calendar year 2023, This will add to rental and house price pressures.
“The stark demand/supply imbalance in new home building requires significant and swift policy action from all levels of government.
“Up to 50 per cent of a new house and land package is taxes, fees and charges. Reducing these costs is necessary to delivery more homes,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“Today’s announcement on the continuation of the HomeGrown build grants through to September 2027, will provide builders and tradies across the Territory with confidence to plan projects, retain workers and invest in local capability,” stated HIA Executive Director Northern Territory, Luis Espinoza.
If governments continue to rely on higher interest rates and the RBA alone to manage inflation, they risk prolonging inflation, higher unemployment and worsening affordability all at the same time.
“The Housing Industry Association (HIA) welcomes the joint Federal and South Australian government’s commitment of $801.5 million to unlock up to 17,000 new homes for South Australians, including nearly 7,000 for first home buyers” HIA Managing Director, Jocelyn Martin said today.
HIA provided feedback on the Private Senators Bill proposing to legislate a right for employees to work from home (WFH).