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Above-trend population growth remains driven by elevated net overseas migration.
Net overseas migration (NOM) was 26.3 per cent higher over the 2023 calendar year. The rate of migration did however slow in the December quarter 2023.
This still leaves the estimated resident population around 25,000 people below its pre-pandemic trajectory. This is based on the rate of growth from the decade to 2020.
“The building industry has consistently argued for stable and reliable population growth. The boom/bust cycles in migration seen over the pandemic period leads to undesirable economic, social and business outcomes,” said HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“As the main determinant of population growth, the fluctuating nature of NOM has a crucial impact on workforce participation numbers, national skills capacity, productivity and overall economic output,” added Mr Reardon.
“HIA supports a managed migration program that delivers adequate skilled migrants in construction and building professions and trades to meet Australia’s ongoing housing needs.
“HIA estimates that Australia’s future underlying housing demand sits above 200,000 homes per year. Unfortunately, only 172,725 dwellings were completed in the calendar year 2023, This will add to rental and house price pressures.
“The stark demand/supply imbalance in new home building requires significant and swift policy action from all levels of government.
“Up to 50 per cent of a new house and land package is taxes, fees and charges. Reducing these costs is necessary to delivery more homes,” concluded Mr Reardon.
“The ongoing influx of overseas migrants has pushed Australia’s population beyond 27.5 million in the first quarter of the year,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“The Housing Industry Association welcomes the Premier’s announcement today of the NSW Planning System Reforms Bill 2025,” said Brad Armitage, Executive Director NSW.
“The Victorian government’s Housing Statement is almost two years old and while a number of significant planning reforms have been introduced the housing target of 800,000 will not be met as homes need to be built and not just planned,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has tabled its submission calling on the Federal Government to act swiftly on the Productivity Commission’s Five Pillars reforms to lift productivity and unlock new housing supply.