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HIA’s Housing Scorecard benchmarks contemporary levels of activity in each state and territory against long term averages across indicators of home building and renovations activity, lending data and population flows.
“Population flows from overseas and interstate, into both North Queensland and the Southeast corner, have supported home buying activity in the state,” added Mr Tapang.
“Strong demand amid limited supply has led to a rise in residential building activity in Queensland, including both new homes and renovations.
“Following Queensland in these rankings are Western Australia and South Australia, where there is strong ongoing demand for building new homes.
“Exceptionally low unemployment rate, strong population growth and stable interest rates have sustained the key dynamics necessary for strong demand for new home building.
“With this relatively stable macro-dynamic, it will increasingly be state government policies and economic outlooks that will determine the strength of home building over the short to medium term.
“Just as state and local government policies set the limit to the floor in this cycle, the diverging outlook between home building markets will also be determined by the same policy decisions.
“States that are able to offer employment opportunities and more affordable residential land will see a stronger outlook for home building activity in coming years.
“As it stands, the momentum of ongoing population growth and home building in Western Australia could see it top this Scorecard in 2025,” concluded Mr Tapang.
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Workplace laws are set for more changes in 2026.
Australia’s residential building industry has entered the new year with confidence still on shaky ground for small businesses as rising costs and policy uncertainty continue to cloud the outlook.
Tasmania’s housing market slowed in November, with building approvals falling sharply compared to October. Approvals for new homes dropped almost 20 per cent, and even after seasonal adjustment, the decline was 5.8 per cent.
Australia’s home building industry is expected to strengthen through 2026, supported by gradually improving building approvals and a recovery in demand, but the pace of growth will ultimately depend on how quickly interest rates can fall further, according to the Housing Industry Association.