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HIA’s Housing Scorecard benchmarks contemporary levels of activity in each state and territory against long term averages across indicators of home building and renovations activity, lending data and population flows.
“Victoria sits in fourth place in the rankings, while the smaller jurisdictions – Queensland, Western Australia and South Australia – race ahead,” added Mr Ryan.
“Inadequate release of new greenfield and infill land for home building has resulted in Victoria having some of the most expensive residential land in the country.
“Surging land, labour, finance, regulatory and tax imposts have combined to see the construction of new housing in Victoria plummet to decade lows, while smaller states have already begun to recover.
“People are starting to return to Victoria post-pandemic, and record inflows of overseas migrants and students continue. This should continue to generate underlying demand for new housing.
“Exceptionally low unemployment rates and stable interest rates have also helped sustain the key dynamics necessary for strong demand for new home building.
“Ideally, these conditions next year should lead to an increase in demand for home building work. The challenge for Victoria is that regulatory settings may not allow the home building industry to meet this demand.
“It will increasingly be state government policies that will determine the strength of home building over the short to medium term.
“Just as state and local government policies set the limit to the floor in this cycle, the upside potential for Australia’s home building markets will also be determined by the same policy decisions.
“States that can offer sensible and fair regulatory settings, competitive taxes, employment opportunities and more affordable residential land will see a stronger outlook for home building activity in coming years.
“On the flipside, punitive taxes and misguided regulations will only compound the costs and constraints that weigh on the industry, delaying growth and making it even more difficult to attract consumers back to the market,” concluded Mr Ryan.
Download our HIA Housing Scorecard
“There were 9,490 detached homes approved in the month of April 2025, up by 3.3 per cent compared to the previous month,” stated HIA Senior Economist Maurice Tapang.
The Treasurer has handed down the 2025/26 Tasmanian Budget. The Budget focuses on alleviating cost of living pressures, health, education and infrastructure, while mapping out a path to a fiscal balance surplus in 2032/2033.
“The NSW planning system has failed to deliver the number of homes we desperately need and we fully support removing the politics from housing, to address this growing crisis,” said Brad Armitage, HIA Executive Director NSW.
The Victorian Opposition’s announcement that it would remove stamp duty for first-home buyers spending up to $1 million on a new or existing home if elected at next year’s state election, is a positive step towards improving home affordability,” says Steven Wojtkiw, HIA Victoria Deputy Executive Director.