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The Australian Bureau of Statistics today released its monthly building approvals data for November 2024 for detached houses and multi-units covering all states and territories.
“Total dwelling approvals fell by 3.6 per cent compared to the previous month but were still up 7.2 per cent over the three-month period,” added Mr King.
“Total dwelling approvals were up 5.4 per cent in the three month period compared with the corresponding period in 2023.
“Detached house approvals in the three months to November 2024 increased by a modest 0.7 per cent on the previous three-month period and climbed 7.1 per cent compared to the same period in the previous year.
“Following a period of prolonged weakness, there are signs of life again in building approvals, which is pointing to a nascent recovery in new home building.
“November 2024 marked exactly one year since the RBA last raised interest rates. Unchanged interest rate settings have provided a welcomed degree of certainty for consumers.
“Population growth rates have slowed across the country but remain elevated which is contributing to strong underlying demand for housing. “Detached house approvals continue to rebound off a very low base, further confirming that the trough of the cycle is now in the rear-view mirror.
“Multi-unit approvals rose by 20.1 per cent in the three months to November 2024 and were up 2.6 per cent on the corresponding period in 2023. Despite some observable improvement, approvals for multi-units have been trending at decade-low levels and remain subdued amid challenges with capacity.
“For the entirety of 2024, multi-unit approval volumes were erratic and trending at decade-low levels. The sector is still reeling from a perfect storm of building material cost escalation resulting from supply chain bottlenecks, skilled labour shortages, credit constraints for businesses, and an elevated public sector infrastructure pipeline that is absorbing skilled trades.
“The overall outlook for new home building is characterised by a multi-speed recovery with increasingly divergent trends across different regions and housing types.
“Perth, Adelaide and South-East Queensland continue to lead the way in new home contract sales and building approvals. Meanwhile, activity in Sydney remains muted and there is no indication of a lasting recovery in either detached housing or the multi-unit sector, for now.
“At the national level, market confidence is returning as the majority of capital city and regional markets now appear to have moved through the trough in new home building activity. A national recovery is in sight.
“Nevertheless, the size of the upswing in new home building activity will be heavily influenced by Federal and State Government housing policy settings.
“Policy makers must double-down on the pursuit of efficiencies and improvement in industry red tape, the excessive taxation of home build, the availability of land for residential development, and the supply of skilled labour,” concluded Mr King.
Detached house approvals in the three months to November 2024 rose by 40.8 per cent in Western Australia compared to the same time in the previous year. This was followed by South Australia (+26.5 per cent), Queensland (+14.6 per cent), and the Northern Territory (+10.5 per cent). The other states and territories recorded declines over the same period, led by the Australian Capital Territory (-34.6 per cent), followed by New South Wales (-7.5 per cent), Victoria (-4.5 per cent), and Tasmania (-2.7 per cent).
Multi-unit approvals in the three months to November 2024 climbed significantly in Western Australia (+207.5 per cent) compared to the corresponding period in the previous year. This was followed by Queensland (+16.0 per cent), Victoria (+9.4 per cent) and New South Wales (+1.6 per cent). The Northern Territory registered a flat result. Declines were recorded in Tasmania (-85.7 per cent), the Australian Capital Territory (-82.4 per cent), and South Australia (-15.1 per cent).
The residential building industry has welcomed today’s pragmatic decision by Minister Steel to limit third party appeal rights in the ACT to improve the supply of public housing - but now is the time to extend this approach to all similar housing projects.
Building approvals for houses in Canberra have hit yet another a new low, with 2024 recording the lowest number for a twelve-month period (680) since records were first published in 1970.
The NSW Government has recently published amendments to the Environmental Planning and Assessment Regulation 2021 and the Environmental Planning and Assessment (Development Certification and Fire Safety) Regulation 2021. The changes include the deferral of some fire safety requirements and a range of housekeeping amendments.
“Residential building approvals in 2024 increased from the decade low seen in 2023 but were nowhere near the levels needed to meet underlying demand for housing,” stated HIA Economist, Maurice Tapang.