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The RBA held its benchmark cash rate at 3.85 per cent today, with attention now shifting to its August meeting, when it will update its official forecasts for the economy.
“This decision will leave new home building activity more constrained than necessary, for longer, but the previous two cuts to the cash rate have seen an improvement in market confidence that is likely to continue,” added Mr Devitt.
“Recent inflation data shows that the RBA’s preferred trimmed mean measure has been within their 2-3 per cent target band for over a year now and continues to decline.
“Household spending has also been constrained, with Australia having been in an almost uninterrupted per capita recession since mid-2022.
“This recent data reinforced the market expectation that the RBA would deliver a cut at their July meeting – an expectation that was disappointed today.
“By most of the RBA’s own estimates, the cash rate remains in restrictive territory, meaning it is still constraining household and business spending across the economy, including in the home building industry.
“More rate cuts cannot deliver the volume of home building required to match the growth in demand or achieve the 1.2 million new homes goal.
“As it stands, Australia is set to build less than 1 million new homes over the government’s target five-year period, 20 per cent short of national housing targets and a long way from addressing the national housing crisis.
“Broader policy reforms are required to achieve government home building targets and address the housing affordability crisis across Australia.
“To unleash Australia’s home building potential, policymakers need to address the acute shortage of skilled trades across the country and remove the tax and regulatory barriers that make housing unaffordable for more and more Australians,” concluded Mr Devitt.
The Victorian Government has introduced the Labour Hire Legislation Amendment (Licensing) Bill 2025 (the Bill) into parliament. It amends the Labour Hire Licensing Act 2018 to address concerns about criminality in the construction sector.
“Sales of new homes for construction jumped 25.9 per cent in September following a series of policy changes, including a cut to the cash rate in August, removal of Lenders Mortgage Insurance and easing in planning restrictions,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“Victoria commenced construction on just 7,650 new detached houses in the June quarter 2025, the weakest quarter for the state in almost 12 years and a new low for this cycle,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.
The Victorian Government has introduced the State Taxation Further Amendment Bill 2025 into Parliament. This Bill includes a number of tax changes, including the much discussed congestion levy changes.