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$vuetify.icons.faPhone1300 650 620

RBA misses opportunity

Media release

RBA misses opportunity

Media release
“The RBA decision to keep interest rates in restrictive territory today will not stop the improvement in leading indicators of future home building,” stated HIA Senior Economist Tom Devitt.

The RBA held its benchmark cash rate at 3.85 per cent today, with attention now shifting to its August meeting, when it will update its official forecasts for the economy.

“This decision will leave new home building activity more constrained than necessary, for longer, but the previous two cuts to the cash rate have seen an improvement in market confidence that is likely to continue,” added Mr Devitt.

“Recent inflation data shows that the RBA’s preferred trimmed mean measure has been within their 2-3 per cent target band for over a year now and continues to decline.

“Household spending has also been constrained, with Australia having been in an almost uninterrupted per capita recession since mid-2022.

“This recent data reinforced the market expectation that the RBA would deliver a cut at their July meeting – an expectation that was disappointed today.

“By most of the RBA’s own estimates, the cash rate remains in restrictive territory, meaning it is still constraining household and business spending across the economy, including in the home building industry.

“More rate cuts cannot deliver the volume of home building required to match the growth in demand or achieve the 1.2 million new homes goal. 

“As it stands, Australia is set to build less than 1 million new homes over the government’s target five-year period, 20 per cent short of national housing targets and a long way from addressing the national housing crisis.

“Broader policy reforms are required to achieve government home building targets and address the housing affordability crisis across Australia.

“To unleash Australia’s home building potential, policymakers need to address the acute shortage of skilled trades across the country and remove the tax and regulatory barriers that make housing unaffordable for more and more Australians,” concluded Mr Devitt.

For more information please contact:

Thomas Devitt

Senior Economist

Tim Reardon

HIA Chief Economist
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