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The HIA New Home Sales report is a monthly survey of the largest volume home builders in the five largest states and is a leading indicator of future detached home construction.
“The fall in sales in July 2025, from a near 33-month high, is likely due to the end of financial year sales,” added Mr Tapang.
“Despite the monthly decline, new home sales in the three months to July 2025 increased by 15.9 per cent, to its highest level since the September quarter 2022.
“New home sales have increased following the first two cuts to the cash rate.
“The rise in the price of established homes will also increasingly see households move to the new home building market.
“The fall in sales in July was driven by declines in New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland, while gains were recorded in South Australia and Western Australia.
“Over a three-month period to July 2025 all markets saw increases in new home sales. This points to volatility being the driver of this month’s decline.
“Demand for new homes is increasing on the back of ongoing population growth and low unemployment.
“This improvement in sales through the start of 2025 will not be sufficient to reach the goal of 1.2 million homes. More significant structural changes to the way in which new home building is taxed and regulated will also be necessary,” concluded Mr Tapang.
All states recorded increased new home sales in the three months to July 2025 compared to the previous quarterly period. This was led by Victoria (+23.4 per cent), followed by South Australia (+23.1 per cent), New South Wales (+18.8 per cent), Queensland (+13.3 per cent) and Western Australia (+2.6 per cent).
The Victorian Government has introduced the Labour Hire Legislation Amendment (Licensing) Bill 2025 (the Bill) into parliament. It amends the Labour Hire Licensing Act 2018 to address concerns about criminality in the construction sector.
“Sales of new homes for construction jumped 25.9 per cent in September following a series of policy changes, including a cut to the cash rate in August, removal of Lenders Mortgage Insurance and easing in planning restrictions,” stated HIA Chief Economist, Tim Reardon.
“Victoria commenced construction on just 7,650 new detached houses in the June quarter 2025, the weakest quarter for the state in almost 12 years and a new low for this cycle,” stated HIA Executive Director Victoria, Keith Ryan.
The Victorian Government has introduced the State Taxation Further Amendment Bill 2025 into Parliament. This Bill includes a number of tax changes, including the much discussed congestion levy changes.