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“All the economic indicators are pointing to a slowdown in the commencement of new homes. Since the first increase in the cash rate, sales of new homes have fallen sharply and are 41.8 per cent lower than at the same time last year and 26.2 per cent lower than at the same time in 2019.
“Loans for the construction and purchase of new homes are down by 31.1 per cent over the year. Building approvals have started to fall and are now 13.5 per cent lower than at the same time last year.
“We forecast that in 2024, the number of new homes commencing construction will reach its lowest volume since 2012, when the RBA last increased the cash rate significantly. This will also be one of the lowest volumes of new home starts in the past 30 years. This is contrary to the Australian government’s goal of building more than one million homes over the next five years,” Ms Martin said.
“The housing supply problem is complex and requires a coordinated approach across all levels of government. The current figures demonstrate we are falling further and further behind in addressing the need. Adjusting one part of the sector and thinking that it will have a positive impact on another part of the sector is naïve. We need an approach that looks across the complete spectrum of housing, social, home ownership and investing, and brings in all tiers of government.
The Housing Australia Future Fund Bill 2023 does place important mechanisms to invest more on social housing. But the Bill doesn't stop there, they provide the impetus to bring Federal, State and Local governments together to address planning issues and improve the quality of housing data so that investment is where it is most needed. It sets up all levels of government to be accountable for change, investment and most importantly results.
“The Bill is not the complete answer to address housing supply. No one thing is. But they are an essential step in putting key decision makers on the same page and accountable. It allows for the possibility that issues of rental affordability, investment and the supply of new homes can be addressed as a whole instead.
“The figures speak for themselves. There is no purpose in debating issues around rental affordability if there are no homes for people to rent in the first place,” Ms Martin said.
Today HIA launched its 2026 Victorian State Election Policy Agenda that calls on all political parties to commit to meaningful steps that will improve the challenging and uncertain environment for all who work in and rely on Victoria’s vitally important home building industry.
The ACT Government’s release of the Molonglo Town Centre Master Plan signals progress on one of Canberra’s key future growth areas, but for builders and developers, the reality is that this project will do little to improve current market conditions or near-term housing supply.
From today, the value of a ‘construction project’ under the NT’s Work Health and Safety (WHS) Regulations will be increased from $500,000 to $1 million.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) says the publication of the Molonglo Town Centre Master Plan today is an important step for Canberra’s long-term housing supply and economic development.