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“Australia’s rental market remains extremely tight. The national residential vacancy rate is just 1.1 per cent, which is well below a balanced level,” said Ms Martin.
“There are even tighter conditions in Brisbane (0.8 per cent), Perth (0.6 per cent), Adelaide (0.8 per cent) and Hobart (0.5 per cent).
“Australia has an acute shortage of rental housing. Any policy that discourages investment in rental homes will only make conditions worse for renters.
“New independent economic analysis commissioned by HIA confirms that changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax would significantly reduce the supply of rental housing by discouraging new investment and slowing housing construction.
“The analysis shows that removing negative gearing would result in tens of thousands fewer homes being built, reduced construction employment and higher rents as rental supply tightens further.
“Removing negative gearing, with minimal grandfathering, would lead to a 46,000 reduction in homes built, a loss of over 4,300 construction jobs and a fall in GDP of $2.3 billion.
“It also finds that changes to capital gains tax would reduce new rental investment and place additional upward pressure on rents over time.
“Removing the CGT discount, with minimal grandfathering, would lead to a 33,000 reduction in homes built, a loss of over 3,000 construction jobs and a fall in GDP of $3 billion.
“Combined, these tax changes would have a compounding effect, fewer rental homes, lower housing construction and higher rents paid by tenants.
"Renter affordability is ultimately about supply. When fewer rental homes are built, renters face higher rents and fewer choices.
“Private investors supply around nine in ten rental homes across Australia, the majority of whom are small-scale, mum and dad investors. Stable and predictable tax settings play a critical role in supporting the ongoing supply of rental housing, particularly new homes entering the market.
“HIA has consistently warned that Australia is not building enough homes to meet demand. Reducing incentives for rental housing investment will only widen this gap.
"If governments want to help renters, the focus must be on increasing housing supply. Targeting rental housing investment with new taxes will make the rental crisis worse, not better," concluded Ms Martin.
The Housing Industry Association’s (HIA) National Policy Congress (NPC) met on the Gold Coast on 16 April 2026 for its annual meeting. The NPC comprises elected representatives from regions across Australia, together with the Chairs of HIA’s eight specialist committees.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has honoured one of its most respected and long‑standing members, Graham Walker, as the 2026 recipient of the Sir Phillip Lynch Award of Excellence – acknowledging decades of outstanding service to both HIA and the broader residential building industry.
The Victorian Premier, Jacinta Allan, has today announced a new Cabinet following the announcement earlier this week that several long-time MPs will retire from the Ministry and the Parliament at the end of the year.
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) congratulates Nick Staikos on his appointment as the new Victorian Minister for Housing and Building and suggests he gets an early win on the board by immediately announcing a delay to the implementation of National Construction Code (NCC) changes due to commence on 1 May 2026.