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Regional New Home Building Projections

Prepared quarterly to show the projected level of new home commencements in all regional markets of Australia.
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These forecasts cover hundreds of regions around Australia as well as providing distinct outlooks for detached and attached building markets. This forecasting service provides a very useful guide for anybody involved in Australia’s residential construction industry that needs to know what is happening in specific geographic areas of a state or territory.

The projections are particularly useful for any business operating in geographic markets where local conditions tend to differ from the more generalised state level conditions.

They help to give an indication of:

  • the size of local markets
  • a point of reference for businesses estimating market share
  • benchmarking of business performance
  • an excellent basis for businesses planning for the future.

The projections are provided with a five year outlook and include historical data dating back ten years.

Residential building professionals often operate in several areas across Australia. For this reason, you can customise the forecasts you obtain or subscribe to, based on your preferred locations.

Get ahead on new build trends

Gain an in-depth perspective on new home starts in every region. Customise your data based on the specific areas your business operates within.

Prices start from

$1540*

for members

$2200*

for non-members

Download order form

* Price range reflects how many states and territories the projections include. An annual subscription includes four quarterly reports for each state you have selected.

Who is it for?

  • Building professionals
  • Volume builders
  • Manufacturers and suppliers

And anyone who wants to gain insights into projected home building activity across Australia over the next five years.

Number of States Member - One off Member - Annual subscription Non member - One off Non member - Annual subscription
1 State $1,540 $3,080 $2,200 $4,400
2 States $2,310 $3,850 $3,300 $5,500
3 States
$3,080 $4,620 $4,400 $6,600
4 States
$3,850 $5,390 $5,500 $7,700
5 States
$4,620 $6,160 $6,600 $8,800
6 States $5,390 $6,930 $7,700 $9,900
7 States $6,160 $7,700 $8,800 $11,000
Australia map
Geographic coverage
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The projections use the geographic areas defined by the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS). This is the system used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics when reporting regional data.

The ASGS is a tiered classification where each state is divided up into a number of ‘statistical areas.’ Within each state, it is first divided into a ‘Greater Capital City Statistical Area’, and the ‘rest of state’.

The largest statistical areas within the ASGS are termed ‘Level 4 Statistical Areas’ (SA4), and each SA4 is divided up into several ‘Level 3 Statistical Areas’ (SA3).

State 

Greater Capital City Statistical Area (GCCSA)
  • Level 4 Statistical Areas (SA4) within GCCSAs (representative of an area with 300,000 to 500,000 people) 
  • Level 3 Statistical Areas (SA3) within SA4s (representative of an area with 30,000 to 130,000 people) 
Rest of State
  • Level 4 Statistical Areas (SA4) outside a state’s GCCSA (representative of an area with 100,000 to 300,000 people) 
  • Level 3 Statistical Areas (SA3) within SA4s (representative of an area with 30,000 to 130,000 people) 

Regional projections go down to the SA3 level and are provided with a five year projection horizon presented in annualised terms (both calendar year and fiscal year). There are numerous instances where the ASGS statistical areas do not align exactly with local government or council boundaries. However, the ASGS statistical areas still enable an accurate representation of building activity for any regional area around the country. 

SA4 and SA3 map of areas covered

What does it include?

New dwelling composition and long-term forecasts for:

  • Detached houses 
  • Semi-detached/townhouses 
  • Units of 1 of 2 storeys 
  • Units of 3 storeys  
  • Units of 4 storeys or more.
Didn’t find what you were looking for?

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Understand the financial indicators impacting the affordability of homes in Australia.

Become a HIA member today

Join Australia’s largest residential building association to gain access to a huge range of industry products and business services. We can help you manage, operate and grow your business.